Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview 16th October 2022

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The Minnesota Vikings (4-1) visit the Miami Dolphins (3-2) in a non-conference showdown at the Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. The Miami Dolphins are in third place in AFC East after collecting three wins from five games so far this season, while four wins in five matches leaves Minnesota Vikings first in the NFC North. Siding with the Miami Dolphins looks to be the value bet, but can they really topple the Minnesota Vikings? The visitors are on a roll at the moment and will be determined to keep their winning start to the season going this weekend.

Miami Dolphins Form 

A 40-17 defeat to the New York Jets in Week 5 extended the Miami Dolphins’ losing streak to two games, leaving them 6-4 in their past 10 matches. However, they have won their last three home games.

The Miami Dolphins have scored 23.0 points per game this season, which is pretty decent compared to the other NFL offenses. But the defense has been nothing to brag about. In five games, the Miami Dolphins have surrendered a poor 26.2 points on average, leaving them rooted to the bottom end of the league’s defensive ranks.

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Minnesota Vikings Form 

The Minnesota Vikings seem to be on a roll after winning 29-22 against the Chicago Bears last week, thus extending their winning streak to three games. This leaves them with an overall record for the last 10 games of 5-5.

The Minnesota Vikings will bring a fairly decent offense to their latest game on the road, scoring 23.0 points per game this season. The defense hasn’t been anything bad either, having allowed 20.4 points on average across five matches so far.

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings H2H

The Minnesota Vikings were able to avenge their 9-30 defeat against the Miami Dolphins in September 2017 by winning the latest meeting between the two teams 41-17 at the U.S. Bank Stadium. The past five meetings have been a clearly one-sided affair in favor of the Miami Dolphins. In total, they claimed four wins with a total score of 4-1. Unless the Minnesota Vikings pull something special out of the bag, the run might continue on Sunday.

In these last five head-to-head games, the Miami Dolphins managed to score 24.4 points on average per game, while Minnesota Vikings scored 23 points per match.

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Standings

Both teams have posted winning starts to the season. The Minnesota Vikings are 1-1 on the road this season and sit top of the NFC North with a point differential of 13 points. In contrast, the Miami Dolphins are second in the AFC East, 2-0 at home, and have a point differential of -16 points.

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Moneyline

Take the Miami Dolphins (2.00) to win outright on the moneyline. The hosts were strong at the Hard Rock Stadium last season with a 6-3 record and have won four of the last five home games. The Minnesota Vikings, meanwhile, may be on a nice winning run but most of their games have been tight. The fact they’re 1-1 on the road has us taking the Miami Dolphins, who are the value bet. 

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Spread

The Miami Dolphins open up as the slight -1.0 favorites over the Minnesota Vikings, according to oddsmakers. This suggests we could be in for a tight football game between two evenly-matched sides. The average winning margin between these two teams in the last five games was 11.0 points.

Take the Miami Dolphins to cover as the spread paid off beautifully in their last two home matches, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see them cover it again on Sunday. The Miami Dolphins are specialists in covering the spread and have the stats to prove it. They have covered the spread in nine of their past 10 home matches, and are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 overall.

The Minnesota Vikings failed to covered the spread in seven of their last eight games. Going against the spread doesn’t usually pay out with the visitors, who haven't covered the spread in seven of their past 10 matches on the road and are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 overall.

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Totals

They have passed the 45 points mark but weren't quite able to make it above 50, as the last five games between the Miami Dolphins and the Minnesota Vikings saw an average of 47.4 points.

The total has only gone over in four of the past 10 home games for the Miami Dolphins. They are 5-5 in the last 10 overall in the over/under market. Meanwhile, the 

On the other side, the Minnesota Vikings have gone over in six of their last 10 road games. They are 5-5 in their last 10 home and away matches combined. Take the UNDER 49.0 (-110) here for this match.