Millwall vs Swansea Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 30th September 2023

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Millwall come up against visiting side Swansea in a Championship fixture on Saturday at The Den.

Millwall rank 11th with 11 points to their name from eight matches, while visitors Swansea rank 21st in the table on six points.

Millwall will be looking to open a further gap in the table on Swansea when clashing in the Championship this coming Saturday. The visitors will be eager to prevent exactly that from happening and they will surely want to keep tap on their upcoming opponent.

Millwall are relatively average in the art of goal-scoring these days. They scored a steady 13 goals in their previous ten matches, for an average of 1.3 per game. They simultaneously allowed their opponents 14 goals, or an average of 1.4 a game. Furthermore, they fought their way to four clean sheets in this run.

Swansea managed a bearable 14 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.4 goals per game. They conceded 15 goals in total, and while claiming one clean sheet, they conceded 1.5 goals an average per game.

It finished with a 2-1 win for Millwall in the most recent meeting between the two sides. Will they be able to put the brakes on their opponent again on Saturday at The Den, or will Swansea manage to assert some revenge?

Millwall vs Swansea Prediction

Millwall Form

Millwall have seen it all in their last three matches, which gave them four points. Against Leeds, they came out empty-handed in a 0-3 defeat, whereafter they avenged themselves in a 3-0 win against Rotherham. Their latest match saw them sharing the spoils in a 0-0 draw against West Bromwich. Millwall managed to win two of their past six home matches in the Championship. In the remaining four, they drew zero and lost four, as they scored seven and conceded nine goals.

Swansea Form

Swansea collected four points in their past three outings, in which they were defeated 2-0 against Cardiff. They followed up, drawing 1-1 with Queens P.R., before winning 3-0 against Sheffield Wednesday. Swansea claimed just one win from the last six away games in the Championship. They also drew two and were defeated three times, as they were outscored by nine goals to eight.

In our opinion, current form favours Millwall slightly more than current odds with the bookmakers suggest. We like the price on offer for the home win against Swansea.

Millwall scored five goals and conceded zero in their last four games against teams from the bottom half of the Championship table. They collected ten points and three victories. Millwall have a record of three wins, two draws and three defeats in the Championship this season. Swansea show off one win, three draws and four defeats in the Championship.

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Millwall vs Swansea Stats

  • In 8 of the last 10 Millwall matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 6 of the last 8 Millwall home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In the last 4 Millwall home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Millwall have not won 7 of the last 9 home matches
  • Millwall have not won 6 of the last 8 matches
  • In 6 of the last 8 matches Swansea played, both teams scored
  • Swansea have scored in 10 of the last 11 matches
  • In 8 of the last 10 Swansea matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Swansea have not won 7 of the last 8 matches
  • In 7 of the last 9 Swansea away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5

Millwall vs Swansea Squads

Millwall Squad

Rowett will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Swansea from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Championship this season):

Bartosz Bialkowski (0/3), Connal Trueman (0/0), Matija Sarkic (0/5), Brooke Norton-Cuffy (0/0), Dan McNamara (0/6), Jake Cooper (0/8), Joe Bryan (0/5), Murray Wallace (0/8), Sashiel Adom-Malaki (0/0), Wes Harding (0/3), Aidomo Emakhu (1/6), Allan Campbell (0/4), Billy Mitchell (0/7), Casper de Norre (0/5), George Honeyman (0/0), George Saville (0/7), Romain Esse (1/6), Ryan Leonard (0/7), Ryan Longman (0/0), Shaun Hutchinson (0/5), Zian Flemming (1/8), Duncan Watmore (0/6), Kevin Nisbet (2/7), Tom Bradshaw (1/8).

Swansea Squad

This is the full squad of players that the Swansea head coach Duff will select from for his starting XI:

Andrew Fisher (0/0), Carl Rushworth (0/8), Azeem Abdulai (0/0), Ben Cabango (0/7), Filip Lissah (0/0), Harrison Ashby (1/5), Harry Darling (1/7), Josh Tymon (0/5), Kristian Pedersen (0/2), Kyle Naughton (0/1), Nathan Tjoe-A-On (0/0), Nathan Wood (1/8), Nathanael Ogbeta (0/0), Cameron Congreve (0/0), Charlie Patino (1/6), Jay Fulton (0/7), Joe Allen (0/3), Josh Key (0/8), Liam Walsh (0/0), Matt Grimes (0/8), Oliver Cooper (0/5), Jamal Lowe (1/3), Jamie Paterson (0/6), Jerry Yates (3/8), Josh Ginnelly (1/6), Liam Cullen (1/8), Mykola Kukharevych (0/4).

Millwall vs Swansea Team News

Millwall could be looking at four players on the injured and absent list ahead of their upcoming match against Swansea.

Kevin Nisbet, Matija Sarkic, Shaun Hutchinson and George Honeyman nurses various injuries and won't take part for Millwall against Swansea at The Den.

Worst-case scenario, Swansea have a total of five players out for their next match.

Nathanael Ogbeta, Joe Allen, Kyle Naughton, Azeem Abdulai and Liam Walsh all face a spell on the sidelines for Swansea due to various injuries.

Millwall vs Swansea Lineups

Millwall vs Swansea H2H

It finished with a 2-1 win for Millwall in the most recent meeting between the two sides. Will they be able to put the brakes on their opponent again this coming Saturday at The Den, or will Swansea manage to assert some revenge? Millwall have a 20% win rate in the against Swansea, who won five of these matches. The total record reads 2-3-5, which is worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Millwall vs Swansea Results

Both teams found the back of the net five times in the past ten matches between home side Millwall and Swansea. Best priced odds on BTTS with the bookies are at 5/6.

Millwall vs Swansea Betting Tips

Look no further than Kevin Nisbet, when searching for a marksman currently in good shape. He hit the target twice lately for Millwall in the Championship, while Jerry Yates managed two goals in the last half dozen matches for Swansea in this tournament. No doubt, both are looking to add to their total once again.

Millwall won three of the previous 10 home matches across all tournaments, while drawing one and losing six as well. Swansea won four from a possible 10 away from home, as they also drew two and lost four in this run. Both teams scored in two of the last 10 home matches for Millwall and in six of the previous 10 away games for Swansea.

Both teams to score was a winning bet five times in the last ten encounters between Millwall and Swansea. There were over two goals five times, as Millwall managed an average of 0.8 goals, while Swansea scored 1.3 goals on average. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of Millwall’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They scored an average of 0.8 goals along the way. In the last ten games for Swansea, six of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of 1.5 times goals per game themselves.

Tips

Millwall to win

We are a little surprise to see the prices on offer at the bookies for a home win, as we think the form of Millwall is better than odds suggest. We back them to claim a home win against Swansea.