Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 24th February 2026

The scoreline read 1-6 after the first leg and now decision time is here for visitors Qarabag FK and Newcastle. Their second leg meeting in the Champions League takes place at the St James' Park this coming Tuesday.
Hopefully Qarabag FK believe in wonders, as that is what they need to achieve the seemingly impossible task ahead of them. They took a heavy (6-1) hammering in the first leg, and surely Newcastle are far too good to waste such on home soil. It will be nothing short of a miracle should Qarabag FK manage to overturn the (1-6) deficit from the first leg. Suffering such a serious hammering, one is left wondering whether their confidence has taken too much of a hit to even attempt to strike back.
Newcastle scored 24 goals on average in their previous ten matches in this tournament, hitting the target 24 times. They conceded ten goals as well, an average of one and pulled off four clean sheets.
Qarabag FK enter their next Champions League match, averaging a lowly 1.4 goals per game in their last ten matches in this tournament. They scored a disappointing total of 14 goals, while also conceding 28. That amounts to an average of 2.8 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring one times.
Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Prediction
Newcastle Form
In their last three matches, Newcastle beat Aston Villa by 1-3 and Qarabag FK by 1-6, before losing against Manchester City by 2-1. Newcastle won half of their previous six matches on home soil in the Champions League, while also drawing zero. They suffered three defeats, while they scored ten and conceded five goals.
Qarabag FK Form
It is all or nothing with Qarabag FK, who only triumphed once in their previous three outings. They were defeated 6-0 against Liverpool, before beating Turan Tovuz 1-0. Unable to build on that, they lost 1-6 against Newcastle. Qarabag FK only have one paltry win to show from the last six away games in the Champions League. In these six matches they drew one and lost four as well as being outscored by 15 goals to five.
Newcastle should be too strong at St James' Park to drop any points against Qarabag FK, and combining the home win with over 2.5 goals looks the value bet.
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Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Stats
- In the last 6 Newcastle matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Newcastle matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 6 Newcastle home matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 5 of the last 6 Newcastle matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Newcastle have won the last 3 matches in a row and the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 4 Qarabag FK matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 4.5
- Qarabag FK have lost 3 of the last 4 matches in the Champions League and the sum of goals was over 5.5
- In 3 of the last 4 Qarabag FK matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 5.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Qarabag FK matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Qarabag FK have lost the last 3 away matches in a row in the Champions League while scoring less than 1.5 goals
Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Team News
At the time of writing, Newcastle have three players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Qarabag FK on Tuesday. Anthony Gordon and Malick Thiaw can't be called up by the Newcastle-manager, with both serving a ban.
Sven Botman sit this one out for Newcastle due to an injury.
Qarabag FK just have a single unavailable player for squad selection, when facing Newcastle at the St James' Park.
Amin Ramazanov nurses an injury and won't be travelling with Qarabag FK.
Newcastle vs Qarabag FK H2H
The last time these two teams faced off against each other, Newcastle came away as 1-6 winners. No doubt they are planning a similar outcome on Tuesday. Entering the clash against Qarabag FK at St James' Park, Newcastle have a 1-0-0 record in their past one encounter against their upcoming visitors.
Both teams found the back of the net in one of the last one match between Newcastle and Qarabag FK.
Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Results
Newcastle vs Qarabag FK Betting Tips
Anthony Gordon has six strikes in six Champions League matches for Newcastle, who will be relying on his services, when clashing with Qarabag FK. The visitors are looking to Camilo Duran, who has provided his team with three Champions League goals.
Newcastle were able to win five of their previous 10 home games across all tournaments, while drawing two of the games. They suffered defeat in three of these outings. Qarabag FK won five of their last 10 games away, drew one and suffered defeat in four of them. Both teams have been quite terrible at keeping their opponents at bay in recent matches. While Newcastle managed to keep a clean sheet in two of the games at St James' Park, Qarabag FK kept their opponent from scoring in one of their last 10 away games.
Over 2.5 goals happened one time in the past one encounter between Newcastle and Qarabag FK, with Newcastle scoring six goals on average per game. Qarabag FK averaged one goal, while both teams scored one time. Over 2.5 goals came out eight times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Newcastle, who scored an average of two goals along the way. Of the last ten games for Qarabag FK, seven had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of 1.6 times goals per game.