Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 11th March 2026

Chelsea swing by Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday for at first leg Champions League of 16 round qualifying match at the Parc des Princes.
Paris Saint-Germain secured a place in this tie by knocking out Monaco in the round 1/16. Although only drawing the return leg, a win in the first was more than enough to see them through with an aggregate score of 5-4.
Paris Saint-Germain are fancied by the bookmakers to escape from this first leg match against Chelsea with a win to their name. After knocking out Monaco in the last round, they have their eye on the title, but the question is whether it is a disadvantage to open this tie with a home match at the Parc des Princes. They need to stay fully focused to not slip up against a cunning opponent like Chelsea.
Paris Saint-Germain scored 26 goals, conceded 15 and claimed a clean sheet two times in their last ten outings in this tournament.
Chelsea scored 17 goals, conceded 14 and managed a clean sheet three times in their previous ten matches in this tournament.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain Form
Paris Saint-Germain went through their last three matches with a 2-2 draw against Monaco, a 0-1 win against Le Havre and a 1-3 defeat against Monaco. Paris Saint-Germain won half of their previous six matches on home soil in the Champions League, while also drawing two. They suffered one defeats, while they scored 18 and conceded eight goals.
Chelsea Form
Chelsea have been all over in their last three matches across all tournaments. Against Arsenal, they came out empty-handed in a 2-1 defeat, whereafter they avenged themselves in a 1-4 win against Aston Villa. Their latest match saw them sharing the spoils in a 2-2 draw against Wrexham. Chelsea claimed just one win from the last six away games in the Champions League. They also drew one and were defeated four times, as they were outscored by 12 goals to seven.
Head-to-head encounters tend to bring out the best in both sides, when it comes to goals. We see no reason for this trend to end here, and we expect an entertaining match once again between Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea.
Top Offers

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
The “Bet without Risk” Bonus applies exclusively to new players who open a player account at Stake and place the first bet on Sportsbook between $5 and $25. The KYC level2 MUST be verified. Place your first Sports bet and get your money back if your bet is considered “Lost”. The Bonus will be credited within 72 hours after the end of the event and in case your bet is considered lost. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
Bonus only available once to new customers. Min deposit value = $100. Max deposit value = $1000. The 200% bonus will be credited within 24-48 hours of depositing and reviewing the account. The wager attached to the bonus is 40x (deposit + bonus). Bonus can be used across all Sportsbook and Casino games. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad
Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Stats
- In 10 of the last 12 Paris Saint-Germain home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Paris Saint-Germain matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Paris Saint-Germain home matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Paris Saint-Germain matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Chelsea away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Chelsea have won 5 of the last 7 away matches while scoring more than 2.5 goals
- In 7 of the last 9 Chelsea matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 4 Chelsea away matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Chelsea have won 5 of the last 7 away matches and the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 7 of the last 9 matches Paris Saint-Germain versus Chelsea played, both teams scored
- In the last 4 matches in a row Paris Saint-Germain versus Chelsea played in the Champions League, both teams scored
- In the last 4 home matches in a row Paris Saint-Germain versus Chelsea played, both teams scored
- In the last 5 Paris Saint-Germain matches versus Chelsea the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Paris Saint-Germain have conceded in the last 9 matches in a row versus Chelsea
Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Team News
Paris Saint-Germain could be looking at three players on the injured and absent list ahead of their upcoming match against Chelsea. Ousmane Dembele, Achraf Hakimi and Senny Mayulu can't be called up by the Paris Saint-Germain-manager, with both serving a ban.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea H2H
Paris Saint-Germain took a hit when Chelsea handed them a 3-0 defeat in their latest encounter. The former did win the reverse match though, as they secured three points to their name by claiming a 2-1 win. As Paris Saint-Germain go into their match against Chelsea at Parc des Princes, they put 3-3-4 record in their previous ten encounters on display.
In the 8 most recent matches between Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea, over 2.5 goals came out as a winning bet 6 times.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Results
Paris Saint-Germain vs Chelsea Betting Tips
Joao Pedro shows decent form right now for Chelsea, as he scored three goals in his last six games in the Champions League. The visitors need more from him, though, when facing Paris Saint-Germain, who are strong favourites on Wednesday. Siding with Vitinha also look a nice prospect as he scored four goals in his last six Champions League matches.
Paris Saint-Germain claimed a win five times in their last 10 home matches across all tournaments, while also drawing three along the way. They endured defeat in two of the games in this run. Chelsea won seven of their last 10 games away, while drawing zero and losing three in this series of matches. Paris Saint-Germain probably enjoy the prospect of scoring this coming Wednesday, as Chelsea managed only four clean sheets in the previous 10 matches away. The hosts claimed one clean sheets in their last 10 matches on home soil.
Both teams scored six times in the last ten encounters between Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea, while over 2.5 goals came out seven times. Paris Saint-Germain scored 1.6 goals on average, while Chelsea pulled 2.1 goals on average. Paris Saint-Germain saw over 2.5 goals in seven of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of two goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came out in eight of the last 10 matches Chelsea played across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 2.5 goals themselves during this run.