Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 23rd May 2026

Real Madrid enjoy home advantage, when visitors Athletic Club swing by on Saturday for a clash in the LaLiga. The former will be looking to make that home advantage count.
Real Madrid are chasing the first place in the LaLiga after collecting 83 points from their initial 37 encounters. Athletic Club trail them on 45 points after 37 rounds, sitting as number 12 in the table.
The match on Saturday has all the makings of a tight battle as Real Madrid and Athletic Club look to bag a crucial win in the process.
Real Madrid step into their next home match this coming Saturday having scored a nice average of 1.7 goals in ten matches. They managed a total of 17 goals, while also allowing ten goals against. That is an average of one goals against per match. They were able to hang on to a clean sheet three times in those matches.
Athletic Club managed a bearable 11 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.1 goals per game. They conceded 17 goals in total, and while claiming one clean sheets, they conceded 1.7 goals an average per game.
Real Madrid won the last two meetings against Athletic Club, as they followed up a 1-0 win by beating their upcoming opponent by a 3-0 score.
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction
Real Madrid Form
In the previous three matches, Real Madrid lost 2-0 against Barcelona, beat Real Oviedo by 2-0 and won 0-1 against Sevilla. Real Madrid won four of their last six LaLiga matches on home soil, while drawing once and losing once. They conceded six and scored 12 goals.
Real Madrid went into the season with the expectation of finishing in the top three, and as we are closing in on the end of the season, they are right on track.
Athletic Club Form
A single draw prevents Athletic Club from having nothing to show for their previous three games. They came up short, losing by 0-1 and 2-0 against Valencia and Espanyol, respectively. Their latest match brought some consolation, as they were able to hang on for a 1-1 draw against Celta Vigo. Athletic Club only have one paltry win to show from the last six away games in the LaLiga. In these six matches they drew one and lost four as well as being outscored by 13 goals to seven.
Most people had Athletic Club down among favourites for relegation, but they have surpassed all expectations. With the season coming to an end, they look destined for another season in the LaLiga.
We expect Real Madrid to make home advantage count but equally, we do not expect a festival of goals against Athletic Club. Hence, our punt on the home win in a match with no more than three goals.
Real Madrid scored 38 goals and conceded 13 in their last 19 games against teams from the bottom half of the LaLiga table. They collected 45 points and 14 victories. Athletic Club fought their way to three wins and ten points from their last 11 games against teams inside the top six. They were on target nine times in these matches, but also let in 19 goals. Real Madrid are looking at a record of 26 wins, five draws and six defeats in the LaLiga this season. Athletic Club are looking at 13 wins, six draws and 18 defeats in the LaLiga.
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Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Stats
- Real Madrid have won 9 of the last 11 home matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In the last 8 Real Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 9 of the last 10 Real Madrid matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 5 Real Madrid matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 5 Real Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 14 of the last 16 Athletic Club matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 12 of the last 14 Athletic Club matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Athletic Club away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 3 Athletic Club matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 3 Athletic Club matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Squads
Real Madrid Squad
Arbeloa will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Athletic Club from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the LaLiga this season):
Andriy Lunin (0/6), Fran Gonzalez (0/0), Thibaut Courtois (0/31), Alvaro Carreras (2/27), Antonio Rüdiger (1/18), Daniel Carvajal (0/16), David Alaba (0/10), David Jimenez (0/0), Dean Huijsen (2/27), Eder Militao (2/16), Ferland Mendy (0/5), Francisco Garcia (1/13), Raul Asencio (2/22), Trent Alexander-Arnold (0/21), Aurelien Tchouameni (1/33), Brahim Diaz (0/29), Cesar Palacios (0/0), Dani Ceballos (0/15), Eduardo Camavinga (1/29), Federico Valverde (5/32), Jorge Cestero (0/0), Jude Bellingham (5/27), Thiago Pitarch (0/9), Arda Guler (4/32), Franco Mastantuono (1/22), Gonzalo Garcia (5/29), Kylian Mbappe (24/30), Rodrygo (1/19), Vinicius Junior (16/36).
Athletic Club Squad
Here is the full team squad of Athletic Club. The 62 year-old Ernesto Valverde will select his starting lineup from the following players:
Alex Padilla (0/0), Unai Simon (0/37), Aitor Paredes (2/18), Andoni Gorosabel (0/23), Aymeric Laporte (0/25), Daniel Vivian (1/30), Inigo Lekue (0/10), Jesus Areso (0/26), Jon De Luis (0/0), Unai Eguiluz (0/0), Yeray Alvarez (0/6), Yuri Berchiche (0/32), Alejandro Rego (1/28), Benat Prados (0/0), Efe Korkut (0/0), Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta (1/33), Mikel Jauregizar (2/35), Mikel Vesga (0/22), Nico Williams (6/25), Oihan Sancet (4/28), Robert Navarro (6/31), Selton Sanchez (0/7), Unai Gomez (1/25), Adama Boiro (0/13), Alex Berenguer (2/31), Asier Hierro (0/0), Gorka Guruzeta (9/34), Inaki Williams (3/29), Maroan Sannadi (1/10), Nico Serrano (1/16), Urko Izeta (0/12).
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Team News
Real Madrid could be looking at four players on the injured and absent list ahead of their upcoming match against Athletic Club. For their upcoming match in round 38, Real Madrid are unable to call upon Daniel Carvajal, who is suspended.
Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba nurses various injuries and won't take part for Real Madrid against Athletic Club at Estadio Bernabeu.
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Lineups
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club H2H
Real Madrid won the last two meetings against Athletic Club, as they followed up a 1-0 win by beating their upcoming opponent by a 3-0 score. Real Madrid generally have the upper hand against Athletic Club, offering a fine 8-1-1 winning record before their next encounter. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 9/20.
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Results
Over 2.5 goals happened only three times in the last ten matches Real Madrid took on Athletic Club. Under 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 28/17 with the bookies.
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Betting Tips
Scoring 16 goals during a LaLiga campaign is just the sort of form, every club adores in a player. Vinicius Junior is out to extend his current momentum, and the upcoming game should be a good opportunity to add another goal to his name. Picking Vinicius Junior to score seems like a no-brainer currently.
Real Madrid claimed a modest seven wins from their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. They split the points with the visiting team in one of the games, whilst losing two. Athletic Club won three of their last 10 games away, drew one and lost six of the games in this run. Goals are flowing freely for Real Madrid on home soil currently, as both teams scored in seven of their last 10 matches here. Both teams were also on target six times in Athletic Club''s last 10 league games away from home.
Both teams not to score was a winning bet seven times in the last ten encounters between Real Madrid and Athletic Club as under 2.5 goals happened three times. Real Madrid scored an average of 1.6 goals a game, with Athletic Club averaging 0.4 goals in this run. Over 2.5 goals came out four times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Real Madrid, who scored an average of 1.4 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of Athletic Club's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 1.1 goals in these matches.