Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 22nd March 2026

Cover image for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 22nd March 2026

Much more than mere points are at stake when Real Madrid clash in a derby with their rivals Atletico Madrid on Sunday at Estadio Bernabeu.

Real Madrid are chasing the first place in the LaLiga after collecting 66 points from their initial 28 encounters. Atletico Madrid trail them on 57 points after 28 rounds, sitting as number 3 in the table.

Real Madrid are looking to avenge a disappointing defeat against Atletico Madrid in their last meeting. According to the bookmakers, a win for the home team looks like a likely scenario.

Real Madrid scored 2.4 goals on average in their past ten matches, hitting the target 24 times. They conceded eight goals, an average of 0.8 and pulled off three clean sheets.

Atletico Madrid managed a bearable 14 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.4 goals per game. They conceded nine goals in total, and while claiming five clean sheets, they conceded 0.9 goals an average per game.

The latest encounter between these two teams was a belter of a 5-2 match. Are we in for a similar goal-fest this coming Sunday?

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Real Madrid Form

Real Madrid are enjoying their football currently with three wins on the bounce, and it began with a 3-0 win against Manchester City. They went on to beat Elche by 4-1, before also getting the better of Manchester City in a 1-2 victory. Real Madrid have been in potent form at Estadio Bernabeu, winning no less than five of the past six LaLiga matches here. They also hammered in 17 goals, while letting in five as they also lost once.

Atletico Madrid Form

Despite losing their latest outing, results have generally been decent in the last three matches for Atletico Madrid. They first took out Tottenham by 5-2 before downing Getafe by 1-0. The winning streak came to an end against Tottenham, who ran out 3-2 winners. In their last six away matches in the LaLiga, Atletico Madrid won twice, while also recording two draws. They endured two defeats in this run, with a scoreline from these matches saying five goals conceded and five scored.

It seems both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid have some issues concerning their defence, as they seem to find themselves on the receiving end a bit too often lately. We believe the trend continues on Sunday, and we are rooting for goals.

Real Madrid earned 15 points from their last seven matches against teams inside the top 6. They claimed five wins, following 16 goals scored while also conceding 11. Atletico Madrid earned seven wins and 23 points in their last 13 games against teams from the top half of the LaLiga table. They scored 22 and conceded 15 goals in these. Real Madrid are looking at a record of 21 wins, three draws and four defeats in the LaLiga this season. Atletico Madrid enjoy a record of 17 wins, six draws and five defeats in the LaLiga.

Top Offers

Up to $25 back as a FREE Sports Bet

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.

The “Bet without Risk” Bonus applies exclusively to new players who open a player account at Stake and place the first bet on Sportsbook between $5 and $25. The KYC level2 MUST be verified. Place your first Sports bet and get your money back if your bet is considered “Lost”. The Bonus will be credited within 72 hours after the end of the event and in case your bet is considered lost. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

200% welcome bonus on your first Casino deposit

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.

Bonus only available once to new customers. Min deposit value = $100. Max deposit value = $1000. The 200% bonus will be credited within 24-48 hours of depositing and reviewing the account. The wager attached to the bonus is 40x (deposit + bonus). Bonus can be used across all Sportsbook and Casino games. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Stats

  • Real Madrid have won 11 of the last 13 home matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
  • Real Madrid have won 9 of the last 10 home matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
  • Real Madrid have won 10 of the last 12 matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
  • Real Madrid have won 6 of the last 7 home matches and the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 6 of the last 7 Real Madrid home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 22 of the last 24 Atletico Madrid away matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 11 of the last 13 Atletico Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 8 of the last 10 Atletico Madrid matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 8 of the last 10 Atletico Madrid away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 4 of the last 5 Atletico Madrid away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Squads

Real Madrid Squad

The 43-year-old coach of the home team, Alvaro Arbeloa, will select the lineup against Atletico Madrid from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the LaLiga this season:

Andriy Lunin (0/0), Fran Gonzalez (0/0), Thibaut Courtois (0/28), Alvaro Carreras (2/23), Antonio Rüdiger (1/11), Daniel Carvajal (0/11), David Alaba (0/8), David Jimenez (0/2), Dean Huijsen (2/20), Eder Militao (1/13), Ferland Mendy (0/2), Francisco Garcia (1/8), Raul Asencio (2/19), Trent Alexander-Arnold (0/13), Aurelien Tchouameni (1/25), Brahim Diaz (0/20), Dani Ceballos (0/15), Eduardo Camavinga (1/20), Federico Valverde (3/27), Jorge Cestero (0/0), Jude Bellingham (4/18), Thiago Pitarch (0/3), Arda Guler (4/28), Franco Mastantuono (1/16), Gonzalo Garcia (4/23), Kylian Mbappe (23/23), Rodrygo (1/19), Vinicius Junior (9/27).

Atletico Madrid Squad

Below is the full team squad of Atletico Madrid. The manager Simeone will pick his starting XI against Real Madrid from these players:

Alvaro Moreno (0/0), Bernabe Barragan (0/0), Jan Oblak (0/26), Juan Musso (0/2), Aleksa Puric (0/0), Clement Lenglet (0/12), David Hancko (0/25), Jose Gimenez (0/13), Marc Pubill (0/12), Nahuel Molina (1/20), Robin Le Normand (1/20), Jano Monserrate (0/0), Johnny Cardoso (0/12), Jorge Rajado (0/0), Koke (2/26), Marcos Llorente (0/24), Matteo Ruggeri (0/19), Obed Vargas (0/3), Pablo Barrios (1/21), Rodrigo Mendoza (1/20), Thiago Almada (3/20), Ademola Lookman (1/6), Alejandro Baena (2/19), Alexander Soerloth (10/27), Antoine Griezmann (6/25), Giuliano Simeone (3/25), Julian Alvarez (8/28), Nico Gonzalez (3/20).

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Team News

At the time of writing, Real Madrid have four players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Atletico Madrid on Sunday. Daniel Carvajal gets a day off from the Real Madrid squad, as he serves out a suspension.

Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba are all absent from the Real Madrid squad that faces Atletico Madrid at Estadio Bernabeu.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Lineups

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid H2H

Their latest encounter was a belter of a game, which finished with a 5-2 scoreline. An uncommon result, but we would not mind a similar goal fest this coming Sunday. Real Madrid enter the match against Atletico Madrid with a 2-5-3 record in their previous ten encounters. A win rate of 20%, which is perhaps worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Results

Recent meetings between Real Madrid and visiting side Atletico Madrid might have been action-packed, but not rich on goals. Backing under 2.5 goals was a winning bet no less than seven times in the last ten matches. Under 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 11/8 with the bookies.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Scoring three goals during a LaLiga campaign is just the sort of form, every club adores in a player. Federico Valverde is out to extend his current momentum, and the upcoming game should be a good opportunity to add another goal to his name. Picking Federico Valverde to score seems like a no-brainer currently.

Of their last 10 matches at home across all tournaments Real Madrid won nine times and lost one as well. Atletico Madrid won three times, drew four and lost three of their last 10 games away from home. Goals are usually flowing for Real Madrid on home soil these days, and at both ends of pitch. Both teams found the back of the net in six of their last 10 matches here. In contrast, both teams to score happened four times for Atletico Madrid in their last 10 league games away from home.

Both teams not to score was a winning bet two times in the last ten encounters between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid as under 2.5 goals happened three times. Real Madrid scored an average of 1.2 goals a game, with Atletico Madrid averaging 1.5 goals in this run. Over 2.5 goals came out seven times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Real Madrid, who scored an average of 2.1 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals were scored in eight of the ten most recent games across all tournaments for Atletico Madrid. They performed an average of 2.3 goals in these.

Tips

BTTS: Yes

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid seem to find it tough getting their defensively lines in order, as they both concede too many goals. We hope the trend continues on Sunday, as we aim for both teams to score.