Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 1st February 2026

Rayo Vallecano go up against Real Madrid on Sunday for a LaLiga meeting at Estadio Bernabeu.
Real Madrid are number 2 in the table on 51 points after 21 matches. Rayo Vallecano rank as number 16 with 22 points after 21 matches played.
Real Madrid as well as Rayo Vallecano suffered disappointing defeats in their most previous match. This could lead to a cautious encounter as neither side naturally fancies losing once again already.
Real Madrid step into their next home match this coming Sunday having scored a nice average of 1.9 goals in ten matches. They managed a total of 19 goals, while also allowing seven goals against. That is an average of 0.7 goals against per match. They were able to hang on to a clean sheet five times in those matches.
Rayo Vallecano are currently not the most scoring team in the LaLiga, as they only found the back of the net five times in ten matches. This is an average of just 0.5 goals a game in which they conceded 14 times, an average of 1.4 per game. They managed three clean sheets in these.
Betting on the draw would have earned you a sound profit the last time Real Madrid played Rayo Vallecano. The pair finished even in a 0-0 match, where no one managed to get the upper hand.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid hope to get back to winning ways after first beating Monaco by 6-1, before winning 0-2 against Villarreal. The streak ended in a recent 4-2 defeat against Benfica. Real Madrid have been in potent form at Estadio Bernabeu, winning no less than five of the past six LaLiga matches here. They also hammered in 15 goals, while letting in four as they also lost once.
Rayo Vallecano Form
Rayo Vallecano lost their previous three matches by 2-0 against Deportivo Alaves, 3-0 against Celta Vigo and 1-3 against Osasuna. Rayo Vallecano only have one paltry win to show from the last six away games in the LaLiga. In these six matches they drew one and lost four as well as being outscored by 12 goals to three.
We expect Real Madrid to make home advantage count but equally, we do not expect a festival of goals against Rayo Vallecano. Hence, our punt on the home win in a match with no more than three goals.
Real Madrid scored 25 goals and conceded five in their last 11 games against teams from the bottom half of the LaLiga table. They collected 29 points and nine victories. Rayo Vallecano won zero and claimed three points in their six most recent games against teams inside the top six. They scored three conceded nine goals. Real Madrid claimed 16 wins, three draws as well as two defeats in the LaLiga this season. Rayo Vallecano are looking at five wins, seven draws and nine defeats in the LaLiga.
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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
- Real Madrid have won 10 of the last 12 home matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 6 of the last 7 Real Madrid matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Real Madrid have won 5 of the last 6 matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won the last 3 matches in a row in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 5 of the last 6 Real Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Rayo Vallecano away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 11 of the last 13 Rayo Vallecano matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 11 of the last 13 Rayo Vallecano matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Rayo Vallecano have lost 3 of the last 4 away matches in the LaLiga while scoring less than 0.5 goals
- In 6 of the last 8 Rayo Vallecano matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Squads
Real Madrid Squad
Alvaro Arbeloa will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against Rayo Vallecano from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the LaLiga this season):
Andriy Lunin (0/0), Fran Gonzalez (0/0), Thibaut Courtois (0/21), Alvaro Carreras (1/19), Antonio Rüdiger (0/7), Daniel Carvajal (0/7), David Alaba (0/4), David Jimenez (0/0), Dean Huijsen (1/15), Eder Militao (1/13), Ferland Mendy (0/1), Francisco Garcia (1/7), Raul Asencio (2/15), Trent Alexander-Arnold (0/8), Aurelien Tchouameni (0/18), Brahim Diaz (0/13), Dani Ceballos (0/12), Eduardo Camavinga (1/15), Federico Valverde (0/20), Jorge Cestero (0/0), Jude Bellingham (4/17), Arda Guler (3/21), Franco Mastantuono (1/13), Gonzalo Garcia (3/16), Kylian Mbappe (21/20), Rodrygo (1/17), Vinicius Junior (5/21).
Rayo Vallecano Squad
Below is the full team squad of Rayo Vallecano. The manager Perez will pick his starting XI against Real Madrid from these players:
Adrian Molina (0/0), Augusto Batalla (0/21), Dani Cardenas (0/0), Abdul Mumin (0/0), Alfonso Espino (1/15), Andrei Ratiu (0/18), Florian Lejeune (0/21), Ivan Balliu (0/9), Jozhua Vertrouwd (0/6), Luiz Felipe (0/7), Nobel Mendy (1/12), Pep Chavarria (1/21), Alvaro Garcia (3/21), Gerard Gumbau (0/14), Marco de las Sias (0/0), Oscar Trejo (0/5), Oscar Valentin (0/18), Pathe Ciss (1/15), Pedro Diaz (0/18), Samuel Becerra (0/3), Unai Lopez (0/16), Alexandre Zurawski (1/13), Carlos Martin (0/3), Fran Perez (1/18), Ilias Akhomach (0/10), Isi Palazon (2/20), Jorge de Frutos (6/19), Randy Nteka (0/6), Sergio Camello (0/13).
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Team News
Real Madrid might be looking at four missing players for their upcoming assignment against Rayo Vallecano. There is no need for Daniel Carvajal to show up in the Real Madrid dressing room, as he is suspended.
Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba nurses various injuries and won't take part for Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano at Estadio Bernabeu.
Rayo Vallecano have an almost full squad of players to choose from ahead of their next match this coming Sunday, as just two players seem to be forced up in the stands. Florian Lejeune and Abdul Mumin sit this one out for Rayo Vallecano, serving a suspension instead of travelling to meet Real Madrid.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano had to settle for a draw each in their most recent match, which finished with a 0-0 scoreline. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 17/4. Real Madrid go into their upcoming match against Rayo Vallecano with a 40% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 4-4-2 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Results
Of the last ten encounters between Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 goals came out five times. Odds on over 2.5 goals are at 1/2 with bookies.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
It has been a superb season for Kylian Mbappe so far as he managed to score impressive 21 goals across all tournaments during the current campaign. He appears to be in great form currently, as he hit the target five times in his last six games, and Real Madrid rely on his abilities against Rayo Vallecano. Siding with him to find the back of the net on Sunday seems like a decent punt.
Real Madrid claimed eight wins in their previous 10 matches at Estadio Bernabeu across all tournaments. They lost two as well, while visitors Rayo Vallecano won three of their last 10 away matches. They drew one and lost six. Rayo Vallecano have been generous visitors, since they pulled only once clean sheet in their previous 10 away games. Real Madrid managedfour clean sheets in their previous 10 matches played at home.
Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Real Madrid managed an average of 1.3 goals, with Rayo Vallecano averaging 1.1 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet six times in this run of matches. Real Madrid saw over 2.5 goals in seven of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 2.8 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in seven of the last ten games for Rayo Vallecano, who scored 1.2 times on average in these matches.