Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 9th March 2025

Real Madrid are highly favoured to claim a win against Rayo Vallecano, whom they face on Sunday. In their current shape, a win at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu seems to be the obvious outcome.
Sitting two places behind the top of the table, Real Madrid claimed 54 points after 26 rounds. Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano amassed 36 points and rank as number 7 in the LaLiga at the moment.
There's been nothing to separate Real Madrid from Rayo Vallecano in their last three matches, which all ended without a winner. This is hardly coincidental, and the question is whether either will be able to break the deadlock at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
Real Madrid show off very admirable numbers from their past ten matches, as they scored 2.1 goals on average per match. That makes a total of 21 goals, whilst they allowed 12 goals against, for an average of 1.2 per outing. They pulled off two clean sheets.
Rayo Vallecano are currently not the most scoring team in the LaLiga, as they only found the back of the net ten times in ten matches. This is an average of just one goals a game in which they conceded eight times, an average of 0.8 per game. They managed two clean sheets in these.
Supporters will be hoping to see a similarly thrilling encounter, as it turned out to be the last time Real Madrid played against Rayo Vallecano. It finished 3-3 in a great match between the pair.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid have been a little inconsistent recently, as they beat Real Sociedad by 0-1. Following that up proved too difficult, as they lost 2-1 against Real Betis, before achieving a 2-1 win against Atletico Madrid. Real Madrid won five of their last six LaLiga matches at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, scoring 17 and conceding four along they way. They also drew once as they remained without defeat.
Rayo Vallecano Form
A single draw prevents Rayo Vallecano from having nothing to show for their previous three games. They came up short, losing by 1-0 and 0-1 against Barcelona and Villarreal, respectively. Their latest match brought some consolation, as they were able to hang on for a 1-1 draw against Sevilla. Rayo Vallecano won twice, while also recording three draws, and one defeat in their last six away matches in the LaLiga. The scoreline from these matches says four goals conceded and five scored.
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano seem to have a strong read on the game plan of this particular opponent, as their last three encounters offered no winner. With that in mind, the draw once again makes an attractive bet.
Real Madrid have taken 16 points from their last 11 games against teams from the top half of the LaLiga table. They won four of these matches with a scoreline of 16 goals to 15. Rayo Vallecano took ten points from their last 11 games against teams from the top half of the LaLiga table. They won two, scored 12 goals and conceded 15. Real Madrid have a record of 16 wins, six draws and four defeats in the LaLiga this season. Rayo Vallecano are looking at nine wins, nine draws and eight defeats in the LaLiga.
Top Offers

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
The “Bet without Risk” Bonus applies exclusively to new players who open a player account at Stake and place the first bet on Sportsbook between $5 and $25. The KYC level2 MUST be verified. Place your first Sports bet and get your money back if your bet is considered “Lost”. The Bonus will be credited within 72 hours after the end of the event and in case your bet is considered lost. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
Bonus only available once to new customers. Min deposit value = $100. Max deposit value = $1000. The 200% bonus will be credited within 24-48 hours of depositing and reviewing the account. The wager attached to the bonus is 40x (deposit + bonus). Bonus can be used across all Sportsbook and Casino games. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
- Real Madrid have won 10 of the last 12 home matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won 9 of the last 11 home matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 7 of the last 9 Real Madrid home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 4 Real Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 5 Real Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 24 Rayo Vallecano away matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 18 of the last 20 Rayo Vallecano matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 8 Rayo Vallecano away matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 4 Rayo Vallecano matches the sum of goals was under 1.5
- In the last 4 Rayo Vallecano matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 1.5
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Squads
Real Madrid Squad
Carlo Ancelotti will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against Rayo Vallecano from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the LaLiga this season):
Andriy Lunin (0/3), Thibaut Courtois (0/23), Antonio Rüdiger (0/24), Daniel Carvajal (1/8), David Alaba (0/4), Eder Militao (1/12), Ferland Mendy (0/14), Francisco Garcia (0/20), Jesus Vallejo (0/1), Lucas Vazquez (1/21), Raul Asencio (0/13), Aurelien Tchouameni (0/21), Brahim Diaz (4/21), Daniel Ceballos (0/15), Eduardo Camavinga (0/12), Federico Valverde (5/24), Jude Bellingham (7/20), Luka Modric (2/25), Arda Guler (1/17), Endrick (1/16), Kylian Mbappe (17/24), Rodrygo (6/23), Vinicius Junior (9/20).
Rayo Vallecano Squad
Here is the full team squad of Rayo Vallecano. The 37 year-old Inigo Perez will select his starting lineup from the following players:
Augusto Batalla (0/21), Dani Cardenas (0/5), Abdul Mumin (2/24), Alfonso Espino (0/6), Andrei Ratiu (2/24), Aridane Hernandez (0/5), Florian Lejeune (0/26), Ivan Balliu (0/18), Pelayo Fernandez (0/0), Pep Chavarria (0/22), Alvaro Garcia (3/24), Gerard Gumbau (0/14), Jonathan Montiel (0/0), Marco de las Sias (0/0), Oscar Trejo (0/12), Oscar Valentin (0/25), Pathe Ciss (2/22), Pedro Diaz (0/14), Unai Lopez (3/20), Adrian Embarba (1/24), Etienne Eto'o Pineda (0/1), Isi Palazon (3/25), Jorge de Frutos (4/25), Randy Nteka (3/20), Raul de Tomas (0/0), Sergi Guardiola (0/10), Sergio Camello (3/23).
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Team News
At the time of writing, Real Madrid have four players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Rayo Vallecano on Sunday. There is no need for Daniel Carvajal to show up in the Real Madrid dressing room, as he is suspended.
Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba are missing from the squad, Real Madrid will field against Rayo Vallecanothis coming Sunday.
Rayo Vallecano have an almost full squad of players to choose from ahead of their next match this coming Sunday, as just two players seem to be forced up in the stands. Jorge de Frutos and Abdul Mumin racked up too many penalty points and won't be in the Rayo Vallecano travelling party for their next match.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano H2H
Supporters will be hoping to see a similarly thrilling encounter, as it turned out to be the last time Real Madrid played against Rayo Vallecano. It finished 3-3 in a great match between the pair. Real Madrid hold a 5-3-2 advantage against Rayo Vallecano from their latest encounters. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 3/11.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Results
Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the last ten matches between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. Odds on under 2.5 goals are at 3/2 with bookies.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
Scoring 17 goals during a LaLiga campaign is just the sort of form, every club adores in a player. Kylian Mbappe is out to extend his current momentum, and the upcoming game should be a good opportunity to add another goal to his name. Picking Kylian Mbappe to score seems like a no-brainer currently.
In their last 10 matches at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu across all tournaments Real Madrid won eight times, drew one and lost one times. Rayo Vallecano claimed four wins, three draw and three defeats in their last 10 games away. Goals are flowing freely for Real Madrid on home soil currently, as both teams scored in eight of their last 10 matches here. Both teams were also on target six times in Rayo Vallecano''s last 10 league games away from home.
Real Madrid managed an average of 1.5 goals in the past ten encounters against Rayo Vallecano, who scored 1.2 goals on average. Over 2.5 goals happened five times, while both teams scored six times. Real Madrid saw over 2.5 goals in five of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 1.7 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals appeared in four of the last ten matches that Rayo Vallecano played across all tournaments. They scored 1.2 times on average in the process.