Real Madrid vs Villarreal Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 4th October 2025

Real Madrid enjoy home advantage, when visitors Villarreal swing by on Saturday for a clash in the LaLiga. The former will be looking to make that home advantage count.
Real Madrid are placed twoth with 18 points after seven matches. Villarreal occupy a position as threeth in the league on 16 points.
As Villarreal are currently leading the league, they will surely want to remain on this spot after this game and so they cannot drop more than two points away, otherwise Real Madrid can take over their position.
Real Madrid scored 2.2 goals on average in their past ten matches, hitting the target 22 times. They conceded nine goals, an average of 0.9 and pulled off five clean sheets.
Villarreal are brimming with confidence in front of goal before the upcoming away match in the LaLiga, as they can show off very handsome numbers from their previous ten games. The visitors scored 2.3 times on average per match, for a total of 23 goals. They also let in nine goals, leaving an average of 0.9 per match. They fought their way to four clean sheets.
Real Madrid go into their encounter with fond memories, as they won 2-0 and 2-1 the last two times they played Villarreal.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid have been a little inconsistent recently, as they beat Levante by 1-4. Following that up proved too difficult, as they lost 5-2 against Atletico Madrid, before achieving a 0-5 win against Kairat Almaty. Real Madrid took six wins in their last six LaLiga matches on home soil, as they scored 12 and let in four goals.
Going into the season as a title candidate in the LaLiga, Real Madrid are currently on track to fulfil the expectations.
Villarreal Form
Villarreal recorded a draw and two wins, as the won by 1-2 and 1-0 against Sevilla and Athletic Club, respectively. Last time out, Juventus ended their streak as the match finished even 2-2. Villarreal won half their previous six away matches in the LaLiga, as well as seeing one draw and suffering two defeats. They scored seven goals whilst conceding nine.
They are one of only a few teams capable of taking the title in the LaLiga, and Villarreal currently remain on course.
Real Madrid are far too strong to let a home win slip against Villarreal, but at the same time, we don't expect the visitors to get over-run. This makes us target the home win in a match with less than three goals.
Real Madrid have taken three points from their last two games against teams from the top half of the LaLiga table. They won one of these matches with a scoreline of four goals to five. In the last one games against teams in the top six, Villarreal claimed zero wins and zero points. They scored zero and conceded two goals. Real Madrid have a record of six wins, zero draws and one defeat in the LaLiga this season. Villarreal have a record of five wins, one draw and one defeat in the LaLiga.
Top Offers

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
The “Bet without Risk” Bonus applies exclusively to new players who open a player account at Stake and place the first bet on Sportsbook between $5 and $25. The KYC level2 MUST be verified. Place your first Sports bet and get your money back if your bet is considered “Lost”. The Bonus will be credited within 72 hours after the end of the event and in case your bet is considered lost. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
Bonus only available once to new customers. Min deposit value = $100. Max deposit value = $1000. The 200% bonus will be credited within 24-48 hours of depositing and reviewing the account. The wager attached to the bonus is 40x (deposit + bonus). Bonus can be used across all Sportsbook and Casino games. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Stats
- Real Madrid have won 8 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won the last 6 matches in a row while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won the last 5 home matches in a row in the LaLiga while scoring less than 2.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won 7 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga while scoring less than 2.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won 8 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga and the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 12 of the last 13 Villarreal away matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Villarreal have won 7 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 9 of the last 11 Villarreal matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 7 of the last 8 Villarreal away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 8 Villarreal away matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Squads
Real Madrid Squad
Alonso will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Villarreal from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the LaLiga this season):
Andriy Lunin (0/0), Fran Gonzalez (0/0), Thibaut Courtois (0/7), Alvaro Carreras (0/7), Antonio Rüdiger (0/1), Daniel Carvajal (0/6), David Alaba (0/2), Dean Huijsen (0/6), Eder Militao (1/5), Ferland Mendy (0/0), Francisco Garcia (0/2), Raul Asencio (0/4), Trent Alexander-Arnold (0/4), Aurelien Tchouameni (0/7), Brahim Diaz (0/5), Daniel Ceballos (0/5), Eduardo Camavinga (0/3), Federico Valverde (0/7), Jude Bellingham (0/3), Arda Guler (3/7), Endrick (0/0), Franco Mastantuono (1/6), Gonzalo Garcia (0/5), Kylian Mbappe (8/7), Rodrygo (0/5), Vinicius Junior (3/7).
Villarreal Squad
Listed below is the full squad of Villarreal players that the manager Marcelino Garcia will choose from for the upcoming game:
Arnau Tenas (0/1), Diego Conde (0/0), Luiz Junior (0/6), Adria Altimira (0/0), Alfonso Pedraza (0/5), Ismael Sierra (0/0), Juan Foyth (0/5), Logan Costa (0/0), Pau Navarro (0/1), Rafa Marin (1/6), Santiago Mourino (0/6), Sergi Cardona (0/6), Willy Kambwala (0/0), Alberto Moleiro (1/7), Daniel Parejo (0/6), Mahamoud Barry (0/0), Manor Solomon (1/3), Pape Gueye (2/7), Renato Veiga (0/6), Santi Comesana (0/6), Tajon Buchanan (3/7), Thomas Partey (0/7), Ayoze Perez (0/1), Georges Mikautadze (1/4), Gerard Moreno (0/1), Ilias Akhomach (0/4), Nicolas Pepe (2/7), Pau Cabanes (0/0), Tani Oluwaseyi (1/5).
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Team News
At the time of writing, Real Madrid have four players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Villarreal this coming Saturday. For their upcoming match in round 8, Real Madrid are unable to call upon Daniel Carvajal, who is suspended.
Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba are missing from the squad, Real Madrid will field against Villarrealthis coming Saturday.
Villarreal face a list of five absentees from the squad ahead of their next match this coming Saturday against Real Madrid. Alfonso Pedraza, Pape Gueye, Daniel Parejo, Georges Mikautadze and Pape Gueye sit this one out for Villarreal, serving a suspension instead of travelling to meet Real Madrid.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Lineups
Real Madrid vs Villarreal H2H
Real Madrid had a good reading on Villarreal in their last two meetings, which they won by 2-0 and 2-1, respectively. Real Madrid go into their upcoming match against Villarreal with a 40% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 4-4-2 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Results
Of the last ten encounters between Real Madrid Villarreal over 2.5 goals came out four times. Odds on over 2.5 goals are at 2/5 with bookies.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Betting Tips
Tajon Buchanan shows decent form right now for Villarreal, as he scored three goals in his last six games in the LaLiga. The visitors need more from him, though, when facing Real Madrid, who are strong favourites on Saturday. Siding with Kylian Mbappe also look a nice prospect as he scored seven goals in his last six LaLiga matches.
Real Madrid won nine of their last 10 matches on home soil, while drawing one in a run that saw them avoid defeat in front of their home supporters. Villarreal won two of their last 10 away games across all tournaments, whilst also drawing five and losing three. Strap yourselves up for a goals at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu since both teams scored in six of the last 10 home matches for Real Madrid. The same occurred in six of the last 10 league games away from home for Villarreal.
Both teams scored seven times in the last ten encounters between Real Madrid and Villarreal, while over 2.5 goals came out six times. Real Madrid scored 1.8 goals on average, while Villarreal pulled 1.3 goals on average. Over 2.5 goals came out eight times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Real Madrid, who scored an average of 2.7 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in four of the last ten outings for Villarreal, who managed to score 1.5 times in those matches.