Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 20th July 2025

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Much more than mere points are at stake when Sao Paulo clash in a derby with their rivals Corinthians on Sunday at Morumbi.

Sao Paulo are number 16 in the table on 13 points after 14 matches. Corinthians rank as number 9 with 19 points after 14 matches played.

Sao Paulo need a good result here against Corinthians, if they wish to climb the Serie A table. The guests have proven, they can be a dangerous opponent, but the former should be able to hold their on at the Morumbi.

Sao Paulo have a hard time getting on the scoreboard these days, as they managed a poorly nine goals in their previous ten matches. That is an average of 0.9 goals per game, in which they conceded 15 goals, or 1.5 goals per game. Furthermore, they fought their way to one clean sheets in this run.

Corinthians managed a bearable 11 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.1 goals per game. They conceded 12 goals in total, and while claiming four clean sheets, they conceded 1.2 goals an average per game.

The latest encounter between these two teams was a belter of a 3-1 match. Are we in for a similar goal-fest on Sunday?

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction

Sao Paulo Form

A single draw is all Sao Paulo have to show from their last three games, where they came up short, losing 1-3 and 2-0 against Vasco da Gama and Flamengo respectively. Their latest match brought some consolation with a 2-2 against Red Bull Bragantino. Sao Paulo only pulled off two wins from a possible six in recent Serie A matches on home soil. Of the remaining four matches, they drew two and lost two, as they scored six and conceded eight goals.

Aiming for a mid-table finish Sao Paulo would require a quick upturn in form to achieve even that.

Corinthians Form

In their last three matches, Corinthians drew 1-1 with Gremio, lost 1-2 against Red Bull Bragantino and beat Ceara 0-1. Corinthians managed to win just once in their past six away games in the Serie A. On top of winning once they also drew two as well as losing three, while scoring nine time and letting in three.

Ambitions are high for Corinthians, and winning the title is still possible, but they need to raise their level to achieve the highest prize.

This particular encounter between Sao Paulo and Corinthians looks a little trickier for the favourites, than prices with the bookmakers suggest. All things considered, though, we still believe, the home side has enough about them to pull off a win on Sunday.

Corinthians won two of their previous three outings against teams from the bottom six and claimed seven points. They scored five and conceded one goals. Sao Paulo have a record of two wins, seven draws and five defeats in the Serie A this season. Corinthians are looking at five wins, four draws and five defeats in the Serie A.

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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Stats

  • In 14 of the last 15 Sao Paulo matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 14 of the last 16 Sao Paulo matches in the Serie A, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Sao Paulo have lost the last 4 matches in a row in the Serie A while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 11 of the last 13 Sao Paulo home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 9 of the last 11 Sao Paulo home matches in the Serie A, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 25 of the last 27 Corinthians matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 15 of the last 17 Corinthians away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 13 of the last 15 Corinthians matches in the Serie A, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 9 of the last 11 Corinthians away matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • In 6 of the last 8 Corinthians matches the sum of goals was under 1.5

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Squads

Sao Paulo Squad

The 50-year-old coach of the home team, Hernan Crespo, will select the lineup against Corinthians from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season:

Jandrei (0/0), Mathias Leandro (0/0), Rafael (0/14), Young (0/0), Alan Franco (0/11), Cedric Soares (0/12), Enzo Hernan Diaz (0/13), Igao (0/0), Joao Moreira (0/0), Nahuel Ferraresi (0/10), Patryck (0/0), Rafinha (0/0), Robert Arboleda (1/9), Sabino (0/8), Wendell (0/8), Alisson (0/13), Andre (5/13), Damian Bobadilla (0/10), Felipe Negrucci (0/0), Gabriel Falcao (0/0), Luan Santos (0/0), Lucas Ferreira (0/13), Luiz Gustavo (0/1), Maik Gomes (0/0), Marcos Antonio (0/10), Oscar (0/5), Pablo Maia (0/6), Pedrinho (0/0), Rodriguinho (0/6), Ferreira (3/9), Henrique Carmo (0/0), Jonathan Calleri (0/3), Juan Dinenno (0/3), Lucas Moura (0/1), Lucca Marques (0/3), Luciano Neves (1/12), Paulo Venuto (0/0), Ryan Francisco (2/8).

Corinthians Squad

Below is the full team squad of Corinthians. The manager Junior will pick his starting XI against Sao Paulo from these players:

Felipe Longo (0/0), Hugo Souza (0/9), Kaue Camargo (0/0), Matheus Donelli (0/5), Andre Ramalho Silva (0/9), Bidu (0/7), Caca (2/10), Caipira (0/0), Diego Palacios (0/0), Fabricio Angileri (0/9), Felix Torres (0/6), Gustavo Henrique (0/4), Hugo Farias (0/3), Leonardo Mana (0/2), Matheuzinho (0/11), Raniele (0/12), Renato Santos (0/0), Tchoca (0/3), Andre Carrillo (0/11), Breno Bidon (1/12), Charles (0/0), Jose Andres Martinez (0/10), Kaue Furquim (0/0), Maycon Barberan (0/11), Paulinho (0/0), Ryan (0/6), Angel Romero (0/13), Dieguinho (0/0), Gui Negao (0/3), Hector Hernandez (1/9), Kayke (0/0), Luiz Fernando (0/0), Memphis Depay (3/9), Rodrigo Garro (0/4), Talles Magno (1/11), Yuri Alberto (5/10).

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Team News

Sao Paulo just have a single unavailable player for squad selection, when facing Corinthians at Morumbi.

Sao Paulo are unable to field Juan Dinenno on Sunday against Corinthians, as he is sidelined with an injury.

Corinthians seem to have only one player on the injured and absent list, when they travel to Morumbi to face Sao Paulo. For instance, Corinthians won't be able to field Caca as he serves out a ban following too many cards.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Lineups

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians H2H

The latest encounter between these two teams was a belter of a 3-1 match. Are we in for a similar goal-fest on Sunday? Sao Paulo go into their upcoming match against Corinthians with a 40% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 4-5-1 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Results

Both teams to score came out seven times in the past ten matches between Sao Paulo and Corinthians. Odds on both teams finding the back of the net are best priced at 6/5 with the bookies.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Betting Tips

Andre found the target one times in his previous six matches, whereas Yuri Alberto just scored once in a similar number of matches.

Sao Paulo won four of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Morumbi. They drew four and lost two as well, while Corinthians won three of their last 10 games away. They drew three and lost four. Goals are flowing freely for Sao Paulo on home soil currently, as both teams scored in eight of their last 10 matches here. Both teams were also on target three times in Corinthians''s last 10 league games away from home.

Both teams not to score was a winning bet three times in the last ten encounters between Sao Paulo and Corinthians as under 2.5 goals happened four times. Sao Paulo scored an average of 1.3 goals a game, with Corinthians averaging 0.9 goals in this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in six of Sao Paulo’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.1 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in two of Corinthians's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 0.7 goals in these matches.

Tips

Sao Paulo to win

Having considered the match from different angles, be it form, strength in squad and match history, Sao Paulo get our vote here. They should have enough to see them through a most likely tricky opponent in Corinthians.