Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 27th July 2025

Sao Paulo and Fluminense face off in round 17 at Morumbi, and it has the look of a tight Serie A match between two teams currently looking fairly evenly matched.

Sao Paulo are number 12 in the table on 19 points after 16 matches. Fluminense rank as number 8 with 20 points after 14 matches played.

The match this coming Sunday has all the makings of a tight battle as Sao Paulo and Fluminense look to bag a crucial win in the process.

Sao Paulo have a hard time getting on the scoreboard these days, as they managed a poorly nine goals in their previous ten matches. That is an average of 0.9 goals per game, in which they conceded 13 goals, or 1.3 goals per game. Furthermore, they fought their way to three clean sheets in this run.

Fluminense are currently decent goalscorers, as they managed a bearable 11 goals in the past ten outings for an average of 1.1 goals a game. Their opponents scored a total of 14 goals, and while Fluminense claimed one clean sheets, they conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Sao Paulo took a hit when Fluminense handed them a 2-0 defeat in their latest encounter. The former did win the reverse match though, as they secured a triumph to their name by claiming a 2-1 win.

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction

Sao Paulo Form

Sao Paulo recorded two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They started off drawing 2-2 with Red Bull Bragantino. Next up was a 2-0 win against Corinthians, before Juventude were defeated in 0-1 win. Sao Paulo won three of their previous six matches at Morumbi in the Serie A. They drew one and suffered two defeats, scoring seven goals to seven against.

Dreaming of the Serie A title, Sao Paulo are currently too far behind budget, so to speak, to seriously stake a claim at first place.

Fluminense Form

Fluminense lost their previous three matches by 0-2 against Cruzeiro, 1-0 against Flamengo and 1-2 against Palmeiras. Fluminense won twice, while also recording one draw, and three defeats in their last six away matches in the Serie A. The scoreline from these matches says seven goals conceded and seven scored.

Fluminense were spoken of as contenders for a title, but current form has them running a little behind in the Serie A.

While tempted to go along with the straight away win for Fluminense, we eventually settled for a more cautious approach. The double-chance or the draw-no-bet is our preferred choice against Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo have a record of four wins, seven draws and five defeats in the Serie A this season. Fluminense have a record of six wins, two draws and six defeats in the Serie A.

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Squads

Sao Paulo Squad

Crespo will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Fluminense from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season):

Jandrei (0/0), Mathias Leandro (0/0), Rafael (0/16), Young (0/0), Alan Franco (0/12), Cedric Soares (0/14), Enzo Hernan Diaz (0/14), Igao (0/0), Joao Moreira (0/0), Nahuel Ferraresi (0/12), Patryck (0/0), Rafinha (0/0), Robert Arboleda (1/11), Sabino (0/10), Wendell (0/10), Alisson (0/15), Andre (5/15), Damian Bobadilla (0/12), Felipe Negrucci (0/0), Gabriel Falcao (0/0), Luan Santos (0/0), Lucas Ferreira (0/13), Luiz Gustavo (0/1), Maik Gomes (0/0), Marcos Antonio (0/12), Oscar (0/6), Pablo Maia (0/7), Pedrinho (0/0), Rodriguinho (0/7), Ferreira (3/11), Gonzalo Tapia (0/0), Henrique Carmo (0/0), Jonathan Calleri (0/3), Juan Dinenno (0/3), Lucas Moura (0/1), Lucca Marques (0/3), Luciano Neves (4/14), Paulo Venuto (0/0), Ryan Francisco (2/8).

Fluminense Squad

Here is the full team squad of Fluminense. The 62 year-old Renato Gaucho will select his starting lineup from the following players:

Fabio (0/14), Gustavo Ramalho (0/0), Kevyn de Freitas (0/0), Marcelo Pitaluga (0/0), Vitor Eudes (0/0), Caio Amaral (0/0), Davi Schuindt (0/0), Gabriel Fuentes (0/5), Guga (1/6), Ignacio (0/9), Juan Freytes (0/14), Leo Jance (0/0), Manoel Messias (0/0), Rene (1/10), Thiago Henrique (0/0), Thiago Silva (0/10), Wallace Davi (0/0), Everaldo (1/14), Facundo Bernal (0/7), Ganso (0/8), Gustavo (0/0), Gustavo Dohmann (0/0), Hercules (1/11), Isaque (0/0), Julio Fidelis (0/0), Martinelli (1/14), Nonato (0/10), Otavio (0/0), Riquelme Felipe (0/2), Ruben Lezcano (0/3), Samuel Xavier (1/11), Thiago Santos (0/4), Vagno da Silva (0/0), Vinicius Lima (1/10), Yeferson Soteldo (0/8), Agustin Canobbio (1/9), German Cano (2/8), Joaquin Lavega (0/0), John Kennedy (0/2), Kelwin do Nascimento (0/0), Keno (0/6), Kevin Serna (3/12), Lele (0/0), Paulo Baya (1/4), Wesley Nata (0/0).

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Team News

Sao Paulo have an almost full squad available against Fluminense at Morumbi with only one player possibly missing.

Juan Dinenno sit this one out for Sao Paulo due to an injury.

Apparently, Fluminense have just two players on the injured and absent list, as they prepare for their match on Sunday. German Cano and Martinelli racked up too many penalty points and won't be in the Fluminense travelling party for their next match.

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Lineups

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense H2H

Sao Paulo lost to 2-0 Fluminense in their last encounter. This served as payback for the 2-1 win, which Sao Paulo dished out the match before that. Sao Paulo won four matches and Fluminense won four Matches of the latest ten encounters. Fluminense came out 2-0 winners in the most recent meeting, though, and the bookies best betting odds on another away win at full-time are at 21/10.

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Results

Over 2.5 goals came out four times in the last ten matches between Sao Paulo and Fluminense. Odds on under 2.5 goals are at 4/9 with bookies.

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Betting Tips

Luciano Neves is showing good form for Sao Paulo, scoring four goals in their last six matches. German Cano scored once in his previous half dozen outings.

Sao Paulo won five of the previous 10 home matches across all tournaments, while drawing three and losing two as well. Fluminense won three from a possible 10 away from home, as they also drew three and lost four in this run. Strap yourselves up for a goals at Morumbi since both teams scored in seven of the last 10 home matches for Sao Paulo. The same occurred in four of the last 10 league games away from home for Fluminense.

Over 2.5 goals came out six times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Sao Paulo managed an average of 1.2 goals, with Fluminense averaging 1.3 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet six times in this run of matches. Sao Paulo saw over 2.5 goals in six of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 1.3 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of the last ten outings for Fluminense, who managed to score 1.1 times in those matches.