Southampton vs Leeds Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 30th September 2023

Cover image for Southampton vs Leeds Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 30th September 2023

When Leeds arrive at St. Mary's Stadium on Saturday to face Southampton in the Championship, the latter will be hoping to use their home turf to their advantage.

Placed 15th in the table Southampton have amassed ten points after eight matches. On 13 points, Leeds rank sixth with eight matches played this season.

While separated by just a few points in the rankings, Southampton have a tough job on hand. Leeds are favourites to at least maintain their lead on Southampton in the Championship table this coming Saturday.

Southampton enter their next Championship match, averaging a decent 1.7 goals per game in their last ten matches, where they pulled off 17 goals, while also conceding 21 times. That amounts to an average of 2.1 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring once.

Leeds scored an average of two goals in ten matches for a total of 20 goals. They also conceded eight goals or an average of 0.8 per game, as they managed five clean sheets.

Southampton beat Leeds in their last two meetings, as they followed up a 3-1 win with a 1-0 victory.

Southampton vs Leeds Prediction

Southampton Form

Southampton endured a tough spell in their previous three matches, which brought three defeats. They lost 1-4 against Leicester, before Ipswich won 0-1, while Middlesbrough claimed all three points in a 2-1 win. Southampton managed to win two of their past six home matches in the Championship. In the remaining four, they drew one and lost three, as they scored 12 and conceded 13 goals.

Leeds Form

In their last three matches, Leeds beat Millwall 0-3, drew 0-0 with Hull and beat Watford by 3-0. Leeds won four times in their last six away games in the Championship, in which they drew once and lost once. They conceded five goals while scoring 11 themselves.

Leeds are favourites to claim a win, when visiting Southampton, and we like the price on offer for the visitors. The away win is our preferred choice on Saturday.

Southampton fought their way to zero wins and zero points from their last three games against teams inside the top six. They were on target once in these matches, but also let in ten goals. Southampton are looking at a record of three wins, one draw and four defeats in the Championship this season. Leeds enjoy a record of three wins, four draws and one defeat in the Championship.

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Southampton vs Leeds Stats

  • Southampton have conceded in the last 26 matches in a row
  • Southampton have conceded in 34 of the last 36 home matches
  • Southampton have not won 15 of the last 17 home matches
  • In 10 of the last 12 Southampton matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • Southampton have lost the last 4 matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • Leeds have not lost 11 of the last 12 matches
  • Leeds have won 3 of the last 4 away matches while scoring more than 2.5 goals
  • In 7 of the last 9 Leeds matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Leeds have not lost 6 of the last 7 away matches
  • Leeds have won 5 of the last 7 away matches

Southampton vs Leeds Squads

Southampton Squad

Martin will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Leeds from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Championship this season):

Alex McCarthy (0/0), Gavin Bazunu (0/8), Joe Lumley (0/0), Jack Stephens (0/4), Jan Bednarek (1/7), Juan Larios (0/0), Kyle Walker-Peters (0/8), Mason Holgate (0/0), Shea Charles (0/7), Taylor Harwood-Bellis (0/0), Carlos Alcaraz (0/6), Flynn Downes (0/0), James Bree (0/0), Joe Aribo (0/7), Ryan Fraser (0/5), Ryan Manning (0/8), Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (0/3), Stuart Armstrong (0/8), William Smallbone (0/6), Adam Armstrong (5/8), Che Adams (3/7), Kamaldeen Sulemana (0/3), Ross Stewart (0/0), Samuel Edozie (2/8), Sekou Mara (0/4).

Leeds Squad

This is the full squad of players that the Leeds head coach Farke will select from for his starting XI:

Illan Meslier (0/8), Karl Darlow (0/0), Kristoffer Klaesson (0/0), Charlie Cresswell (0/3), Djed Spence (0/0), Ethan Ampadu (0/8), Joe Rodon (0/6), Junior Firpo (0/0), Leo Hjelde (0/1), Liam Cooper (1/3), Luke Ayling (1/8), Pascal Struijk (0/8), Sam Byram (1/7), Crysencio Summerville (1/5), Daniel James (0/6), Darko Gyabi (0/1), Glen Kamara (0/0), Ilia Gruev (0/0), Jamie Shackleton (0/6), Joe Gelhardt (0/5), Stuart Dallas (0/0), Archie Gray (0/8), Georginio Rutter (2/7), Helder Costa (0/0), Ian Poveda (0/3), Jaidon Anthony (0/0), Joel Piroe (0/0), Lee Erwin (0/0), Mateo Fernandez (0/0), Patrick Bamford (0/0), Wilfried Gnonto (1/5).

Southampton vs Leeds Team News

At the time of writing, Southampton have three players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Leeds on Saturday.

Jack Stephens, Juan Larios and Ross Stewart take up space in the treatment room and won't be eligible to be called up for home side Southampton, when they face Leeds on Saturday.

Leeds will have to make do without a group of four missing from their roster prior to their upcoming match on Saturday against Southampton.

Leeds need to do without Djed Spence, Junior Firpo, Patrick Bamford and Stuart Dallas, who are not fit enough to travel to St. Mary's Stadium.

Southampton vs Leeds Lineups

Southampton vs Leeds H2H

It finished with a 0-1 win for The Saints in the most recent meeting between the two sides. Will they be able to put the brakes on their opponent again this coming Saturday at St. Mary's Stadium, or will Leeds manage to assert some revenge? Southampton have a 67% win rate in the against Leeds, who won two of these matches. The total record reads 4-0-2, which is worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Southampton vs Leeds Results

The scenario of both teams to score came out three times in the last six matches between Southampton and Leeds.

Southampton vs Leeds Betting Tips

Look no further than Adam Armstrong, when searching for a marksman currently in good shape. He hit the target twice lately for Southampton in the Championship, while Joel Piroe managed four goals in the last half dozen matches for Leeds in this tournament. No doubt, both are looking to add to their total once again.

St. Mary's Stadium witnessed Southampton winning one of their 10 latest matches across all tournaments here. They drew two and lost seven in this run. Leeds won four of their previous 10 games away, drew two and lost four. Keep an eye out for both teams not to score at St. Mary's Stadium, as BTTS only came out six times in the previous 10 Championship matches here for Southampton. Both teams scored in three of the previous 10 away games for Leeds.

Over 2.5 goals happened four times in the past six encounters between Southampton and Leeds, with Southampton scoring 2.01 goals on average per game. Leeds averaged 1.17 goals, while both teams scored three times. Over 2.5 goals happened in eight of Southampton’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.3 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of the last ten outings for Leeds, who managed to score 1.6 times in those matches.

Tips

Leeds to win

Having considered the match from different angles, be it form, strength in squad and match history, Leeds get our vote here. They should have enough to see them through a most likely tricky opponent in Southampton.