St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 23rd January 2026

Much more than mere points are at stake when St. Pauli clash in a derby with rivals Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on Friday at Millerntor Stadion.
Placed 18th in the table St. Pauli have amassed 12 points after 17 matches. On 17 points, Hamburger SV rank 14th with 17 matches played this season.
The upcoming game against Hamburger SV offers a good opportunity for St. Pauli to get some much-needed points to their account. The final part of the season could be a tough ride, should they fail to claim 3 points in a match like this.
St. Pauli have a hard time getting on the scoreboard these days, as they managed a poorly eight goals in their previous ten matches. That is an average of 0.8 goals per game, in which they conceded 19 goals, or 1.9 goals per game. Furthermore, they fought their way to one clean sheets in this run.
Hamburger SV travel to their next Bundesliga match, averaging a lowly one goals per game in their last ten matches. They scored a disappointing total of ten goals, while also conceding 17 goals. That amounts to an average of 1.7 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring one times.
St. Pauli won the last two meetings against Hamburger SV, as they followed up a 1-0 win by beating their upcoming opponent by a 2-0 score.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction
St. Pauli Form
A single point is all St. Pauli can show for their efforts in the past three matches. They managed a 0-0 draw with Mainz 05, before getting trounced 2-1 against Wolfsburg while Borussia Dortmund won 3-2. St. Pauli claimed a modest two wins in their past six home matches in the Bundesliga. They also drew zero and lost four, scored five goals and conceded 12.
Hamburger SV Form
In their last three matches, Hamburger SV drew 1-1 with Eintracht Frankfurt, lost 2-1 against Freiburg, and drew 0-0 with Borussia Moenchengladbach. Hamburger SV didn't manage a single away win in their last six Bundesliga matches, but managed one draws, while suffering five defeats. They conceded 13 and scored four goals themselves.
St. Pauli find it tough these days to get a goal in, but Hamburger SV are equally lacklustre in front of goal currently, and going with under 2.5 goals in the betting market is the obvious choice.
St. Pauli won ten points from their last five encounters with teams from the bottom six, like their upcoming opponent. They won three, scored six and let in three goals. Hamburger SV claimed three wins from nine goals scored and six conceded from their past five matches against teams placed in the bottom six. This handed them nine points to their account. St. Pauli are looking at a record of three wins, three draws and 11 defeats in the Bundesliga this season. Hamburger SV enjoy a record of four wins, five draws and eight defeats in the Bundesliga.
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St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Stats
- In 16 of the last 18 St. Pauli home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 13 of the last 15 St. Pauli matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 9 St. Pauli matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 7 St. Pauli home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 7 of the last 9 St. Pauli home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Hamburger SV have lost the last 5 away matches in a row in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Hamburger SV have lost the last 4 away matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 5 of the last 6 Hamburger SV matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Hamburger SV have lost 4 of the last 5 away matches in the Bundesliga and the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 4 of the last 5 Hamburger SV matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Squads
St. Pauli Squad
The 52-year-old coach of the home team, Alexander Blessin, will select the lineup against Hamburger SV from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season:
Ben Alexander Voll (0/0), Emil Gazdov (0/0), Nikola Vasilj (0/17), Simon Spari (0/0), Arkadiusz Pyrka (0/14), Connor Metcalfe (0/14), David Nemeth (0/0), Eric Smith (2/16), Fin Stevens (0/0), Jannik Robatsch (0/0), Karol Mets (0/11), Lars Ritzka (0/10), Louis Oppie (1/17), Tomoya Ando (0/1), Adam Dzwigala (1/11), Hauke Wahl (1/16), Jackson Irvine (0/8), James Sands (1/16), Joel Chima Fujita (0/17), Manolis Saliakas (0/8), Marwin Schmitz (0/0), Abdoulie Ceesay (0/11), Andreas Hountondji (4/12), Danel Sinani (2/14), Martijn Kaars (2/14), Mathias Pereira Lage (0/17), Oladapo Afolayan (0/7), Ricky-Jade Jones (2/5), Romeo Aigbekaen (0/0).
Hamburger SV Squad
Here is the full team squad of Hamburger SV. The 35 year-old Merlin Polzin will select his starting lineup from the following players:
Daniel Heuer Fernandes (0/17), Fernando Dickes (0/0), Hannes Hermann (0/0), Aboubaka Soumahoro (0/4), Giorgi Gocholeishvili (0/14), Guilherme Ramos (0/8), Jordan Torunarigha (0/9), Luka Vuskovic (3/15), Miro Muheim (0/17), Noah Katterbach (0/0), Silvan Hefti (0/0), Warmed Omari (0/5), William Mikelbrencis (0/12), Albert Sambi Lokonga (4/13), Daniel Elfadli (0/12), Fabio Vieira (1/12), Immanuel Pherai (0/5), Nicolai Remberg (0/16), Nicolas Capaldo (0/15), Alexander Roessing (0/10), Bakery Jatta (0/5), Damion Downs (0/2), Emir Sahiti (0/2), Fabio Balde (0/10), Jean-Luc Dompe (2/13), Ransford Koenigsdoerffer (1/17), Rayan Philippe (4/16), Robert Glatzel (1/10), Yussuf Poulsen (1/8).
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Team News
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Lineups
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV H2H
St. Pauli had a good reading on Hamburger SV in their last two meetings, which they won by 1-0 and 2-0, respectively. St. Pauli go into their upcoming match against Hamburger SV with a 40% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 2-1-2 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Results
The scenario of both teams to score came out two times in the last five matches between St. Pauli and Hamburger SV.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Betting Tips
Look no further than Martijn Kaars, when searching for a marksman currently in good shape. He hit the target twice lately for St. Pauli in the Bundesliga, while Albert Sambi Lokonga managed two goals in the last half dozen matches for Hamburger SV in this tournament. No doubt, both are looking to add to their total once again.
St. Pauli won three of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Millerntor Stadion. They drew three and lost four as well, while Hamburger SV won two of their last 10 games away. They drew two and lost six. Should St. Pauli pull off a home win on Friday, it could be an entertaining affair, since they only won one games to nil in their last 10 attempts.
In the last five encounters between St. Pauli and Hamburger SV over 2.5 goals came out two times, as St. Pauli averaged 1.4 goals a game. Hamburger SV scored an average of 1.8 goals in these, while both teams scored two times. St. Pauli saw over 2.5 goals in six of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of one goal during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of the last ten outings for Hamburger SV, who managed to score 1.1 times in those matches.