St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 10th January 2026

Cover image for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 10th January 2026

Despite their unsatisfactory form, RB Leipzig have a decent shot at three points in this round 16 match, when visiting St. Pauli. Though playing at the Millerntor Stadion on Saturday, bookmakers put a lot of faith in them gaining the away win.

Placed 16th in the table St. Pauli have amassed 12 points after 15 matches. On 29 points, RB Leipzig rank fourth with 15 matches played this season.

St. Pauli are out to avenge a disappointing loss against RB Leipzig in their most recent meeting. According to the bookmakers, the home side could be in for another tough ride, though as it looks like an fairly unequal pairing at Millerntor Stadion.

St. Pauli are not a high scoring team these days, as they only found the back of the net five times in the last ten outings. That is an average of just 0.5 goals per game, as they conceded 18 goals. They managed one clean sheets in these matches.

RB Leipzig show off splendid stats in their last ten matches, where they hit the target 2.3 times on average per game. They scored 23 goals and conceded 12, an average of 1.2 a game. They held on for a clean sheet in four of these.

The last time the pair played each other RB Leipzig came away as 2-0 winners, and rest assured they have a similar outcome in mind on Saturday.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction

St. Pauli Form

St. Pauli go into their upcoming match unbeaten in their previous three matches, which started off with a 1-1 draw against FC Koln. They went on to beat FC Heidenheim 2-1, before sharing the spoils with Mainz 05 in a 0-0 draw. St. Pauli managed to win two of their past six home matches in the Bundesliga. In the remaining four, they drew zero and lost four, as they scored five and conceded 12 goals.

St. Pauli entered the season dreaming of medals, but find themselves far off track following a lousy run of form.

RB Leipzig Form

In their last three matches, RB Leipzig won 6-0 win against Eintracht Frankfurt, lost 3-1 against Union Berlin and lost 1-3 against Bayer Leverkusen. RB Leipzig claimed two wins against two draws and two defeats in their last six away matches in the Bundesliga. The scoreline from these matches reads seven goals conceded and ten scored.

RB Leipzig are among the title candidates in the Bundesliga again this season, and first place is still within reach.

Form favours RB Leipzig for the win a little more than prices with the bookmakers suggests. Even playing on home soil, the bookmakers have placed a little too much faith in St. Pauli, and we aim for the away win.

St. Pauli fought their way to zero wins and one points from their last five games against teams inside the top six. They were on target five times in these matches, but also let in 13 goals. RB Leipzig claimed five wins from 12 goals scored and one conceded in the previous five encounters with opponents from the bottom six of the Bundesliga. This earned them a total of 15 points. St. Pauli claimed three wins, three draws as well as nine defeats in the Bundesliga this season. RB Leipzig have a record of nine wins, two draws and four defeats in the Bundesliga.

Top Offers

Up to $25 back as a FREE Sports Bet

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.

The “Bet without Risk” Bonus applies exclusively to new players who open a player account at Stake and place the first bet on Sportsbook between $5 and $25. The KYC level2 MUST be verified. Place your first Sports bet and get your money back if your bet is considered “Lost”. The Bonus will be credited within 72 hours after the end of the event and in case your bet is considered lost. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

200% welcome bonus on your first Casino deposit

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.

Bonus only available once to new customers. Min deposit value = $100. Max deposit value = $1000. The 200% bonus will be credited within 24-48 hours of depositing and reviewing the account. The wager attached to the bonus is 40x (deposit + bonus). Bonus can be used across all Sportsbook and Casino games. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Stats

  • In 16 of the last 18 St. Pauli home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 12 of the last 14 St. Pauli matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 7 of the last 8 St. Pauli home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 6 of the last 7 St. Pauli home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • St. Pauli have lost 4 of the last 5 home matches in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 8 of the last 10 RB Leipzig matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In 9 of the last 11 RB Leipzig matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 7 of the last 9 RB Leipzig matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 6 of the last 8 RB Leipzig matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In 4 of the last 5 RB Leipzig away matches the sum of goals was over 3.5

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Squads

St. Pauli Squad

Alexander Blessin will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against RB Leipzig from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season):

Ben Alexander Voll (0/0), Nikola Vasilj (0/15), Simon Spari (0/0), Arkadiusz Pyrka (0/12), Connor Metcalfe (0/14), David Nemeth (0/0), Eric Smith (1/14), Fin Stevens (0/0), Jannik Robatsch (0/0), Karol Mets (0/9), Lars Ritzka (0/8), Louis Oppie (1/15), Tomoya Ando (0/0), Adam Dzwigala (1/9), Erik Ahlstrand (0/0), Hauke Wahl (1/14), Jackson Irvine (0/8), James Sands (0/14), Joel Chima Fujita (0/15), Manolis Saliakas (0/8), Marwin Schmitz (0/0), Abdoulie Ceesay (0/10), Andreas Hountondji (4/12), Danel Sinani (2/14), Martijn Kaars (2/12), Mathias Pereira Lage (0/15), Oladapo Afolayan (0/7), Ricky-Jade Jones (1/3), Romeo Aigbekaen (0/0).

RB Leipzig Squad

Here is the full team squad of RB Leipzig. The 37 year-old Ole Werner will select his starting lineup from the following players:

Leopold Zingerle (0/0), Maarten Vandevoordt (0/0), Peter Gulacsi (0/15), Benjamin Henrichs (0/0), Castello Lukeba (1/14), David Raum (2/15), El Chadaille Bitshiabu (0/3), Kosta Nedeljkovic (0/5), Lukas Klostermann (0/4), Max Finkgrafe (0/2), Willi Orban (0/15), Andrija Maksimovic (0/6), Antonio Nusa (1/12), Christoph Baumgartner (6/15), Ezechiel Banzuzi (0/12), Forzan Assan Ouedraogo (3/11), Kevin Kampl (0/0), Nicolas Seiwald (0/15), Ridle Baku (0/13), Viggo Gebel (0/0), Xaver Schlager (2/11), Conrad Harder (1/13), Johan Bakayoko (2/12), Romulo Cruz (4/11), Samba Konate (0/1), Tidiam Gomis (1/7), Timo Werner (0/3), Yan Diomande (6/14).

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Team News

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Lineups

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig H2H

The last time the pair played each other RB Leipzig came away as 2-0 winners, and rest assured they have a similar outcome in mind this coming Saturday. St. Pauli enter the match against RB Leipzig with a 0-1-1 record in their previous two encounters. A win rate of 0%, which is perhaps worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Results

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Martijn Kaars, who is performing well for St. Pauli. He found the back of the net twice in his most recent Bundesliga outings. He'll be out to add more goals against RB Leipzig.The visitors will be looking to Yan Diomande to find the net once again, after managing four Bundesliga goals for RB Leipzig in recent matches.

St. Pauli won three of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Millerntor Stadion. They drew three and lost four as well, while RB Leipzig won five of their last 10 games away. They drew two and lost three. St. Pauli might win at Millerntor Stadion this coming Saturday, but don't expect them to keep a clean sheet as well. They won just one games to nil in their last 10 matches on home soil.

St. Pauli saw over 2.5 goals in six of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 0.9 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in eight of the last ten games for RB Leipzig, who managed to hit the net 2.7 times on average in these games.

Tips

RB Leipzig to win

Form looks slightly more in favour of RB Leipzig than odds suggests. We believe the bookmakers have placed a little too much faith in St. Pauli and we like the prices on offer for the away win.