Stoke vs Derby Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 9th August 2025

Cover image for Stoke vs Derby Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 9th August 2025

Championship title favourites Stoke begin their title challenge this coming Saturday in an opening day encounter with Derby at Bet365 Stadium.

We are bound to see an exciting game this coming Saturday as both Stoke and Derby are looking to add some much-needed points to their respective accounts.

Stoke scored nine times in the last ten outings for an average of 0.9 goals a game. They conceded 12 and managed four clean sheets.

Derby are currently decent goalscorers, as they managed a bearable 13 goals in the past ten outings for an average of 1.3 goals a game. Their opponents scored a total of seven goals, and while Derby claimed five clean sheets, they conceded an average of 0.7 goals per match.

It finished all square on when Stoke last faced Derby. With both denying to back down, the scoreboard said 0-0 in the end. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 11/5.

Stoke vs Derby Prediction

Stoke Form

A single draw is all Stoke have to show from their last three games, where they came up short, losing 6-0 and 0-2 against Leeds and Sheffield United respectively. Their latest match brought some consolation with a 0-0 against Derby. Stoke won three of their previous six matches at Bet365 Stadium in the Championship. They drew two and suffered one defeats, scoring seven goals to four against.

Derby Form

Derby recorded a draw and two wins, as the won by 1-3 and 0-1 against West Bromwich and Hull, respectively. Last time out, Stoke ended their streak as the match finished even 0-0. Derby won three of a possible six away matches in the Championship, as well as playing one draw and suffering two defeats. They scored nine while also conceding seven times.

More often than not, either Stoke or Derby pull off a clean sheet in meetings with each other. Thus, the value here seem to lie with at least one team being unable to score this coming Saturday.

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Stoke vs Derby Stats

  • In 8 of the last 10 Stoke matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • Stoke have lost the last 3 home matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 7 of the last 9 Stoke matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • Stoke have lost 4 of the last 5 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 8 of the last 10 Stoke matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 5 of the last 7 Derby matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 1.5
  • In 8 of the last 10 Derby matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 6 of the last 8 Derby matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • In 6 of the last 8 Derby matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In the last 3 Derby away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5

Stoke vs Derby Squads

Stoke Squad

Mark Robins will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against Derby from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Championship this season):

Frank Fielding (0/0), Jack Bonham (0/0), Viktor Johansson (0/0), Aaron Cresswell (0/0), Ashley Phillips (0/0), Ben Gibson (0/0), Ben Wilmot (0/0), Eric Bocat (0/0), Junior Tchamadeu (0/0), Maksym Talovierov (0/0), Andre Vidigal (0/0), Ben Pearson (0/0), Bosun Lawal (0/0), Joon-Ho Bae (0/0), Lewis Baker (0/0), Sorba Thomas (0/0), Tatsuki Seko (0/0), Divin Mubama (0/0), Million Manhoef (0/0), Robert Bozenik (0/0), Ryan Mmaee (0/0), Sam Gallagher (0/0), Thibaud Verlinden (0/0).

Derby Squad

Listed below is the full squad of Derby players that the manager John Eustace will choose from for the upcoming game:

Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (0/0), Josh Vickers (0/0), Richard O'Donnell (0/0), Callum Elder (0/0), Craig Forsyth (0/0), Curtis Nelson (0/0), Danny Batth (0/0), Dion Sanderson (0/0), Jake Rooney (0/0), Joe Ward (0/0), Kane Wilson (0/0), Matthew Clarke (0/0), Owen Beck (0/0), Ryan Nyambe (0/0), Sondre Klingen Langaas (0/0), Ben Osborn (0/0), Bobby Clark (0/0), Ebou Adams (0/0), Ivan Calero (0/0), Kenzo Goudmijn (0/0), Liam Thompson (0/0), Tom Koblenz (0/0), Andreas Weimann (0/0), Carlton Morris (0/0), Corey Blackett-Taylor (0/0), Dajaune Brown (0/0), Kayden Jackson (0/0), Kwame Thomas (0/0), Lars-Joergen Salvesen (0/0), Patrick Agyemang (0/0), Rhian Brewster (0/0).

Stoke vs Derby Team News

Stoke vs Derby Lineups

Stoke vs Derby H2H

It finished all square on when Stoke last faced Derby. With both denying to back down, the scoreboard said 0-0 in the end. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 11/5. Stoke have a 30% win rate against Derby, who won three of these matches. The total record reads 3-4-3, which is worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Stoke vs Derby Results

Of the last ten encounters between Stoke Derby over 2.5 goals came out four times. Odds on over 2.5 goals are at 11/8 with bookies.

Stoke vs Derby Betting Tips

Despite scoring just once in six Championship games, Stoke hope Lewis Baker adds to his collection of goals sooner rather than later. Meanwhile, Derby put their faith in Ebou Adams to handle the home side defence and double up on his recent strike rate of one goal in six Championship games.

Stoke claimed four wins, drew three and lost three of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. Derby won six, drew two and lost two of their last 10 games away. Stoke will feel optimistic about scoring this coming Saturday, with Derby managing a clean sheet once in the previous 10 away games. The hosts fought their way to four clean sheets in their previous 10 matches played at home.

Over 2.5 goals came out six times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Stoke managed an average of 0.9 goals, with Derby averaging 1.2 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet five times in this run of matches. Stoke saw over 2.5 goals in three of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 0.8 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of Derby's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 1.7 goals in these matches.

Tips

BTTS: No

Recent history between Stoke and Derby suggests the value bet lies with at least one side managing a clean sheet.