Ukraine vs Italy Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 20th November 2023
Ukraine welcome Italy to their final match in the Euro 2024 qualifying campaign at the BayArena in Leverkusen.
The last time these two teams squared up, Italy ran out 2-1 winners which they surely won't mind doing again at BayArena.
While Ukraine join this game on Monday as number 22 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Italy are number nine.
What a final round we have on our hands here as this match get to decide who will live to see Germany 2024. Defending European Champions Italy only need a draw, while Ukraine have to go for the kill. Anything but a win will see them miss out on the Euro's next year.
Ukraine vs Italy Prediction
Ukraine Form
In the previous three matches, Ukraine lost 2-1 against Italy, beat North Macedonia by 2-0 and won 1-3 against Malta. Ukraine claimed four wins from their past six internationals, where they drew one and lost one as well. They scored 11 goals and conceded six times.
Italy Form
Six points is Italy have to show from their past three matches, as they beat Malta by 4-0. This was followed by a 3-1 defeat against England, before winning 5-2 against North Macedonia. Italy performed a very admirable four wins in six internationals, while they also drew one and lost one. They scored 16 times, while also conceding ten goals.
Italy picked up some decent results recently, which makes them our preferred pick, when they turn up at BayArena to challenge Ukraine.
Italy scored in their last nine matches on the bounce.
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Ukraine vs Italy Stats
- Ukraine have scored in the last 7 matches in a row
- Ukraine have not lost 8 of the last 10 matches
- In 5 of the last 7 matches Ukraine played, both teams scored
- In 4 of the last 5 Ukraine matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Ukraine have conceded in 6 of the last 8 matches
- Italy have scored in 15 of the last 17 matches
- In 6 of the last 7 matches Italy played, both teams scored
- In 6 of the last 7 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 3 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Italy have conceded in 9 of the last 11 matches
Ukraine vs Italy Team News
Worst-case scenario, Italy have a total of six players out for their next match.
Guglielmo Vicario, Moise Kean, Rafael Toloi, Alex Meret, Davide Calabria and Manuel Locatelli all face a spell on the sidelines for Italy due to various injuries.
Ukraine vs Italy H2H
When these two nations last faced off against each other in the European Championship, Italy ended up taking the glory in a 2-1 win 12 September 2023. Italy seem to have a bit of a love affair with Ukraine, as they have beaten them five times in last seven encounters. The bookies have Italy to win this match at best price odds of 9/10.
Ukraine vs Italy Results
The scenario of both teams to score came out three times in the last seven matches between Ukraine and Italy.
Ukraine vs Italy Betting Tips
Look no further than Viktor Tsigankov, when searching for a marksman currently in good shape. He hit the target two times lately for Ukraine in the European Championship, while Davide Frattesi managed four goals in the last half dozen matches for Italy in this tournament. No doubt, both are looking to add to their total once again.
Ukraine collected three wins, drew six and lost one in the 10 most games across all tournaments at BayArena. Italy won four of their previous 10 away, drew two and lost four times. Both teams hit the back of the net in three of the last 10 matches for Ukraine on home soil. Both scored at least once in five of the previous 10 away games for Italy.
Over 2.5 goals came up three times in the previous seven encounters between Ukraine and Italy, as Ukraine scored 0.42 goals on average per game and Italy averaging 1.73 goals. Both teams scored in three times of these matches. In their last ten matches across all tournaments, Ukraine saw five of them finish with more than 2.5 goals, with themselves scoring an average of 1.9 goals during this run. Of the last ten games for Italy, seven had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of two times goals per game.