Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 10th January 2026

Mid-placed Union Berlin face relegation-threatened Mainz 05 at Alte Foersterei in round 16 of the Bundesliga in a match that kick-offs this coming Saturday. The visitors have a lot more at stake, but are lacking in quality.
Placed eightth in the table Union Berlin have amassed 21 points after 15 matches. On eight points, Mainz 05 rank 18th with 15 matches played this season.
The last time Union Berlin played Mainz 05, they booked three points to their account and look well primed to secure another win this coming Saturday.
Union Berlin are relatively average in the art of goal-scoring these days. They scored a steady 12 goals in their previous ten matches, for an average of 1.2 per game. They simultaneously allowed their opponents 12 goals, or an average of 1.2 a game. Furthermore, they fought their way to three clean sheets in this run.
Mainz 05 are currently not the most scoring team in the Bundesliga, as they only found the back of the net eight times in ten matches. This is an average of just 0.8 goals a game in which they conceded 20 times, an average of two per game. They managed one clean sheets in these.
The last time these two sides facing off here came up against each other, Union Berlin came away with a 2-1 win. They have a similar outcome in mind at Alte Foersterei, but face stern opposition, of course.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Prediction
Union Berlin Form
In the previous three matches, Union Berlin lost 3-1 against Wolfsburg, beat RB Leipzig by 3-1 and won 0-1 against FC Koln. Union Berlin managed to win two of their past six home matches in the Bundesliga. In the remaining four, they drew three and lost one, as they scored nine and conceded six goals.
Union Berlin have already squandered enough points to put themselves under pressure, if they are to challenge for the title seriously in the Bundesliga this season.
Mainz 05 Form
Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last three matches, which began with a 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich. Then, they took out Samsunspor 2-0, followed by a 0-0 draw with St. Pauli. Mainz 05 claimed just one win from the last six away games in the Bundesliga. They also drew one and were defeated four times, as they were outscored by 14 goals to seven.
Mainz 05 entered the season dreaming of medals, but find themselves far off track following a lousy run of form.
Union Berlin and Mainz 05 are struggling to keep opponents at bay, which makes both teams to score look like the value bet at Alte Foersterei
Union Berlin recorded four points following one wins from their last four games against teams placed among the bottom six. They scored three goals, but also conceded five. Mainz 05 scored seven goals and conceded 17 in their last eight encounters with teams in the top half of the Bundesliga. This lead to zero wins and two points. Union Berlin have a record of six wins, three draws and six defeats in the Bundesliga this season. Mainz 05 have a record of one win, five draws and nine defeats in the Bundesliga.
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Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Stats
- In 9 of the last 11 Union Berlin home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Union Berlin home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 4 of the last 5 Union Berlin matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 3 of the last 4 Union Berlin matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 3 of the last 4 Union Berlin home matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 12 of the last 14 Mainz 05 matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Mainz 05 matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Mainz 05 away matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Mainz 05 have lost 4 of the last 5 away matches in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Mainz 05 have lost 5 of the last 7 away matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Squads
Union Berlin Squad
The 54-year-old coach of the home team, Steffen Baumgart, will select the lineup against Mainz 05 from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season:
Carl Klaus (0/0), Frederik Roennow (0/15), Matheo Raab (0/0), Andrik Markgraf (0/0), Christopher Trimmel (0/14), Danilho Doekhi (4/15), Derrick Koehn (0/15), Diogo Leite (0/11), Stanley N'Soki (1/2), Tom Rothe (1/12), Alex Kral (0/9), Aljoscha Kemlein (0/13), Andras Schafer (1/11), Janik Haberer (0/14), Josip Juranovic (0/3), Leopold Querfeld (0/15), Oliver Burke (4/14), Rani Khedira (3/14), Robert Skov (0/3), Tim Skarke (1/12), Woo-Yeong Jeong (0/13), Andrej Ilic (0/14), David Preu (0/0), Dmytro Bogdanov (0/0), Ilyas Ansah (5/15), Livan Burcu (0/2), Marin Ljubicic (0/0).
Mainz 05 Squad
Below is the full team squad of Mainz 05. The manager Fischer will pick his starting XI against Union Berlin from these players:
Daniel Batz (0/3), Lasse Riess (0/4), Robin Zentner (0/9), Andreas Hanche-Olsen (0/13), Anthony Caci (0/4), Danny da Costa (1/15), Kacper Potulski (1/3), Konstantin Schopp (0/0), Lennard Maloney (0/8), Maxim Dal (0/0), Maxim Leitsch (0/3), Phillipp Mwene (0/13), Silvan Widmer (1/10), Stefan Bell (0/11), Daniel Gleiber (0/0), Dominik Kohr (1/11), Jae-Sung Lee (2/13), Jeremiah Debrah (0/0), Kaishu Sano (1/15), Nadiem Amiri (3/13), Niklas Tauer (0/0), Nikolas Veratschnig (0/11), Sota Kawasaki (0/6), Armindo Sieb (2/12), Arnaud Nordin (0/11), Ben Bobzien (0/1), Benedict Hollerbach (0/11), Kasey Bos (0/0), Nelson Weiper (0/13), Paul Nebel (1/11), Phillip Tietz (0/0), William Boeving (0/4).
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Team News
Union Berlin just have a single unavailable player for squad selection, when facing Mainz 05 at Alte Foersterei. Tom Rothe gets a day off from the Union Berlin squad, as he serves out a suspension.
At the time of writing, Mainz 05 just have two players on the injured and absent list, as they prepare for their match on Saturday. Dominik Kohr and Phillipp Mwene can't be called upon by Mainz 05, as they are all sidelined with a suspension.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Lineups
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 H2H
The last time the pair played each other Union Berlin came away as 2-1 winners, and rest assured they have a similar outcome in mind on Saturday. Union Berlin tend to have the upper hand against Mainz 05, grabbing all three points six times in ten matches. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 11/10.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Results
Over 2.5 goals came out four times in the last ten matches between Union Berlin and Mainz 05. Odds on under 2.5 goals are at 11/17 with bookies.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 Betting Tips
Rani Khedira has been great for Union Berlin lately, hitting the target two times, which makes him worth considering in the betting market. Mainz 05 are optimistic that Danny da Costa doubles up on the one goal he provided in their past six outings.
In their last 10 matches at Alte Foersterei across all tournaments Union Berlin won three times, drew four and lost three times. Mainz 05 claimed two wins, three draw and five defeats in their last 10 games away. Goals are flowing freely for Union Berlin on home soil currently, as both teams scored in eight of their last 10 matches here. Both teams were also on target five times in Mainz 05''s last 10 league games away from home.
The last ten encounters between Union Berlin and Mainz 05 saw over 2.5 goals scored six times, with Union Berlin averaging 1.9 goals a game. Mainz 05 scored 0.8 goals on average in these, as both teams scored seven times in this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in seven of Union Berlin’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.5 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of the last ten outings for Mainz 05, who managed to score 0.8 times in those matches.