AC Milan vs Empoli Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 7th April 2023

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Empoli head to San Siro as the clear underdogs for a Serie A round 29 match with AC Milan on Friday. Given how the odds are stacked against them, anything apart from a defeat will be a surprise.

AC Milan are third in the Serie A standings after collecting 51 points from their initial 28 encounters. Empoli trail them on 31 points after 28 rounds, leaving them as number 14 in the table.

We are bound to see an exciting game this coming Friday as both AC Milan and Empoli are looking to add some much-needed points to their respective accounts.

1.3 AC Milan go into their next Serie A match, scoring a humble average of 1.3 per game in their last ten matches. They scored a mundane 13 times, while conceding 16. That amounts to an average of 1.6 per game, where they kept their opponents from scoring four times.

Empoli average 0.9 goals a game in their last ten outing, scoring a total of nine goals. They conceded an average of 1.4 per game, for a total of 14 goals, whilst keeping their opponents from scoring two times.

AC Milan no doubt look forward to their next match, as they ran out 1-0 and 3-1 winners when last playing Empoli.

AC Milan vs Empoli Prediction

AC Milan Form

AC Milan delivered a bit of everything as their last three matches added four points to their tally. An encounter with Salernitana brought a 1-1 draw, which was followed by a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Udinese. Their most recent game had them back on the winning trail, as they beat SSC Napoli by 0-4. AC Milan won three of their previous six matches at San Siro in the Serie A. They drew two and suffered one defeats, scoring ten goals to nine against.

Empoli Form

In their last three matches, Empoli lost against Udinese and Atalanta by 0-1 and 2-1, respectively, and beat Lecce by 1-0. Empoli managed to win just once in their past six away games in the Serie A. On top of winning once they also drew two as well as losing three, while scoring nine time and letting in six.

Bookmakers have AC Milan down as rather big favourites for the win against Empoli. While it might prove a bit more troublesome than odds suggest, we find it equally tempting to side with the hosts.

AC Milan took 28 points from their last 14 encounters with teams from the bottom half of the Serie A table. This amounts to eight wins after scoring 26 times and conceding 19. Empoli fought their way to one win and four points from their last nine games against teams inside the top six. They were on target six times in these matches, but also let in 17 goals. AC Milan have a record of 15 wins, six draws and seven defeats in the Serie A this season. Empoli have a record of seven wins, ten draws and 11 defeats in the Serie A.

AC Milan vs Empoli Stats

  • AC Milan have won 3 of the last 4 home matches without conceding a goal
  • In 8 of the last 9 AC Milan matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 7 of the last 9 AC Milan matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • In the last 4 AC Milan home matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • AC Milan have scored in 11 of the last 13 home matches
  • Empoli have lost the last 4 matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • Empoli have not won 12 of the last 14 away matches
  • Empoli have conceded in 14 of the last 16 matches
  • Empoli have not won the last 8 matches in a row
  • In 9 of the last 11 Empoli away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5

AC Milan vs Empoli Squads

AC Milan Squad

The 57-year-old coach of the home team, Stefano Pioli, will select the lineup against Empoli from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season:

Andreas Jungdal (0/0), Antonio Mirante (0/0), Ciprian Tatarusanu (0/16), Devis Vasquez (0/0), Mike Maignan (0/12), Alessandro Florenzi (0/0), Davide Calabria (1/16), Fikayo Tomori (1/25), Fode Ballo-Toure (1/4), Malick Thiaw (0/11), Pierre Kalulu (1/27), Sergino Dest (0/8), Simon Kjaer (0/12), Theo Hernandez (3/24), Alexis Saelemaekers (1/20), Aster Vranckx (0/0), Brahim Diaz (5/24), Ismael Bennacer (1/23), Rade Krunic (0/16), Sandro Tonali (2/25), Tiemoue Bakayoko (0/0), Tommaso Pobega (1/13), Yacine Adli (0/5), Ante Rebic (3/18), Charles De Ketelaere (0/24), Daniel Maldini (0/0), Divock Origi (2/20), Emil Roback (0/0), Junior Messias (4/18), Lorenzo Colombo (0/0), Olivier Giroud (8/25), Rafael Leao (10/26), Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1/4).

Empoli Squad

Here is the full team squad of Empoli. The 40 year-old Paolo Zanetti will select his starting lineup from the following players:

Guglielmo Vicario (0/24), Jacopo Seghetti (0/0), Lovro Stubljar (0/0), Samir Ujkani (0/0), Samuele Perisan (0/4), Ardian Ismajili (0/21), Fabiano Parisi (2/25), Gabriele Guarino (0/0), Koni De Winter (0/12), Liberato Cacace (0/8), Lorenzo Tonelli (0/0), Nicolo Cambiaghi (3/18), Petar Stojanovic (0/21), Samuele Angori (0/0), Sebastian Walukiewicz (0/5), Sebastiano Luperto (1/26), Tyronne Ebuehi (2/17), Alberto Grassi (0/16), Duccio Degli Innocenti (0/0), Filippo Bandinelli (2/27), Jacopo Fazzini (0/15), Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro (0/17), Liam Henderson (0/18), Nicolas Haas (1/19), Razvan Marin (2/26), Tommaso Baldanzi (4/19), Emanuel Vignato (1/11), Francesco Caputo (3/28), Marko Pjaca (0/13), Martin Satriano (2/26), Mattia Destro (1/10), Roberto Piccoli (0/13).

AC Milan vs Empoli Team News

The injured and absent list looks to be stretched wide for AC Milan, as they prepare to meet Empoli, since nine could be missing.

Simon Kjaer, Rade Krunic, Fode Ballo-Toure, Ante Rebic, Divock Origi, Junior Messias, Mike Maignan, Alessandro Florenzi and Zlatan Ibrahimovic nurses various injuries and won't take part for AC Milan against Empoli at San Siro.

Empoli have an almost full squad of players to choose from ahead of their next match on Friday, as just two players seem to be forced up in the stands.

Names like Mattia Destro and Lorenzo Tonelli most likely won't be deemed fit enough to play AC Milan.

AC Milan vs Empoli Lineups

AC Milan vs Empoli H2H

The last time the pair played each other, AC Milan came out the other side as 1-3 winners and surely won't mind a repeat of that result. AC Milan seem to have a bit of a love affair with Empoli, as they beat them six times in the last ten meetings. Not least in their most recent meeting, where AC Milan destroyed their upcoming opponents in a 3-1 win. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 2/5.

AC Milan vs Empoli Results

Both teams to score came out eight times in the past ten matches between AC Milan and Empoli. Odds on both teams finding the back of the net are best priced at 19/20 with the bookies.

AC Milan vs Empoli Betting Tips

Rafael Leao found the target two times in his previous six matches, whereas Francesco Caputo just scored once in a similar number of matches.

In their last 10 matches at San Siro across all tournaments AC Milan won five times, drew two and lost three times. Empoli claimed one wins, four draw and five defeats in their last 10 games away. AC Milan should go full-on attack at San Siro, as Empoli don't have the best record, when it comes to conceding. They managed just three clean sheets in their 10 most recent away matches. The hosts claimed one clean sheets in their last 10 matches at home.

Over 2.5 goals came out seven times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. AC Milan managed an average of 2.2 goals, with Empoli averaging 1.1 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of AC Milan’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.2 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in four of the last ten outings for Empoli, who managed to score 0.9 times in those matches.

Tips

Over 2.5

Head-to-head encounters tend to bring out the best in both sides, when it comes to goals. We see no reason for this trend to end here, and we expect an entertaining match once again between AC Milan and Empoli.

AC Milan to win

Bookmakers have AC Milan down as rather big favourites for the win against Empoli. While it might prove a bit more troublesome than odds suggest, we find it equally tempting to side with the hosts.