AC Milan vs Lecce Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 23rd April 2023

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AC Milan welcome Lecce for a clash in the Serie A at San Siro this coming Sunday.

AC Milan approach round 31 as number four in the Serie A table with 53 points on their account so far. With 30 rounds behind them, Lecce have amassed 28 points, placing them as number 16 in the standings.

Entering the match as a favourite, AC Milan will be highly motivated to extend their unbeaten streak that they currently have in this Serie A campaign. They should be in with a decent chance of adding another win to their account. The visitors will undoubtfully make their life as unpleasant as possible, however, they will have it very difficult considering the current form of the hosts.

AC Milan only average a modest 1.2 goals per game in their last ten matches in this tournament, in which they scored 12 goals. They also conceded eight for an average of 0.8 per game. They kept their opponents from scoring five times.

Lecce travel to their next Serie A match, averaging a lowly 0.7 goals per game in their last ten matches. They scored a disappointing total of seven goals, while also conceding 12 goals. That amounts to an average of 1.2 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring once.

Neither AC Milan nor Lecce managed a breakthrough, when they last faced each other. They ended up settling for a point in a 2-2 draw, and the best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 3/1.

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

AC Milan Form

Aming to remain unbeaten, AC Milan managed to beat SSC Napoli 1-0, before drawing 1-1 with Bologna. Most recently, they had to settle for a 1-1 draw with SSC Napoli. AC Milan managed to win two of their past six home matches in the Serie A. In the remaining four, they drew three and lost one, as they scored eight and conceded eight goals.

Lecce Form

A single point prevents Lecce from having nothing to show for their previous three games. They came up short, losing by 1-0 and 1-2 against Empoli and SSC Napoli, respectively. Their latest match brought some consolation, as they were able to hang on for a 1-1 draw against Sampdoria. Lecce claimed two wins against zero draws and four defeats in their last six away matches in the Serie A. The scoreline from these matches reads seven goals conceded and four scored.

The draw could easily be picked out as the value bet this coming Sunday, since AC Milan have settled for a stalemate quite often recently. Lecce could also be satisfied with a point at San Siro.

AC Milan scored 26 goals and conceded 16 in their last 15 games against teams from the bottom half of the Serie A table. They collected 31 points and nine victories. Lecce scored 14 goals and conceded 22 in their last 16 encounters with teams in the top half of the Serie A. This lead to three wins and 13 points. AC Milan show off a record of 15 wins, eight draws and seven defeats in the Serie A this season. Lecce are looking at six wins, ten draws and 14 defeats in the Serie A.

AC Milan vs Lecce Stats

  • In the last 6 AC Milan home matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • In 11 of the last 13 AC Milan matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 8 of the last 9 AC Milan home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • AC Milan have not lost 10 of the last 12 matches
  • AC Milan have not lost the last 6 home matches in a row
  • In 33 of the last 35 Lecce matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In the last 17 Lecce away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Lecce have lost the last 3 away matches in a row without scoring a goal
  • Lecce have lost 5 of the last 7 matches without scoring a goal
  • In 9 of the last 10 Lecce away matches the sum of goals was under 2.5

AC Milan vs Lecce Squads

AC Milan Squad

The 57-year-old AC Milan manager, Stefano Pioli, will select the lineup against Lecce from these players (the statistics in the brackets refer to scored goals and games played in the Serie A this season):

Andreas Jungdal (0/0), Antonio Mirante (0/0), Ciprian Tatarusanu (0/16), Devis Vasquez (0/0), Mike Maignan (0/14), Alessandro Florenzi (0/5), Davide Calabria (1/18), Fikayo Tomori (1/26), Fode Ballo-Toure (1/5), Malick Thiaw (0/13), Pierre Kalulu (1/28), Sergino Dest (0/8), Simon Kjaer (0/12), Theo Hernandez (3/25), Alexis Saelemaekers (1/22), Aster Vranckx (0/8), Brahim Diaz (5/26), Ismael Bennacer (1/24), Rade Krunic (0/16), Sandro Tonali (2/26), Tiemoue Bakayoko (0/0), Tommaso Pobega (2/15), Yacine Adli (0/0), Ante Rebic (3/20), Charles De Ketelaere (0/26), Daniel Maldini (0/0), Divock Origi (2/22), Emil Roback (0/0), Junior Messias (4/19), Lorenzo Colombo (0/0), Olivier Giroud (8/26), Rafael Leao (10/28), Zlatan Ibrahimovic (0/0).

Lecce Squad

This is the full squad of players that the Lecce head coach Baroni will select from for his starting XI:

Federico Brancolini (0/0), Jasper Samooja (0/0), Marco Bleve (0/0), Wladimiro Falcone (0/30), Alessandro Tuia (0/7), Daniel Samek (0/0), Federico Baschirotto (3/29), Giuseppe Pezzella (0/12), Kastriot Dermaku (0/1), Marin Pongracic (0/9), Mats Lemmens (0/0), Pietro Ceccaroni (0/1), Samuel Umtiti (0/17), Simone Romagnoli (0/2), Valentin Gendrey (0/30), Alexis Blin (1/27), Antonino Gallo (0/25), Gabriel Strefezza (7/28), Joan Gonzalez (1/29), Kristoffer Askildsen (0/19), Medon Berisha (0/0), Morten Hjulmand (0/28), Remi Oudin (0/23), Thorir Helgason (0/11), Tommaso Cassandro (0/0), Youssef Maleh (0/19), Assan Ceesay (5/26), Eetu Moemmoe (0/0), Federico Di Francesco (2/29), Joel Persson (0/6), Lameck Banda (1/29), Lorenzo Colombo (4/26).

AC Milan vs Lecce Team News

AC Milan are sweating on the fitness of no less than nine players before their match this coming Sunday.

Simon Kjaer, Rade Krunic, Fode Ballo-Toure, Ante Rebic, Divock Origi, Junior Messias, Mike Maignan, Alessandro Florenzi and Zlatan Ibrahimovic are missing from the squad, AC Milan will field against Leccethis coming Sunday.

AC Milan vs Lecce Lineups

AC Milan vs Lecce H2H

It finished 2-2 when AC Milan last played Lecce and the best betting odds on yet another draw at full-time with the bookies are at 3/1. AC Milan tend to have the upper hand against Lecce, grabbing all three points five times in ten matches. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 1/2.

AC Milan vs Lecce Results

In six of the previous ten matches between AC Milan and Lecce both teams scored.

AC Milan vs Lecce Betting Tips

Despite having scored only two times in his last 6 league matches, Rafael Leao has actually netted ten goals during this Serie A season. He will surely want to add some more until the end of the campaign, and the upcoming match against outsiders Lecce should be a good opportunity for him to improve on his recent goalscoring ratio. In short, siding with Rafael Leao to add another goal this season should be a bet to consider.

San Siro witnessed AC Milan winning four of their 10 latest matches across all tournaments here. They drew three and lost three in this run. Lecce won three of their previous 10 games away, drew two and lost five. AC Milan won four of their last 10 games on home soil without allowing a goal.

Over 3.5 goals came out five times in the past ten encounters between AC Milan and Lecce, with the former on an average of 2.2 goals a game. Lecce scored 1.1 goals per game and both teams scored six times in this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of AC Milan’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.2 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in two of Lecce's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 0.7 goals in these matches.

Tips

Under 2.5

You don't look for AC Milan or Lecce, to provide with a lot of entertainment currently, as both are playing mostly tight matches with few goals. The value-bet lies with under 2.5 goals on Sunday.

Draw

We are opting for a draw, as AC Milan have settled for a point after 90 minutes in several recent matches. Lecce could be satisfied with taking a point back home.

AC Milan to win

Bookmakers have AC Milan down as rather big favourites for the win against Lecce. While it might prove a bit more troublesome than odds suggest, we find it equally tempting to side with the hosts.